Final audited reference season.
Los Angeles LakersWEST · PACIFIC
Los Angeles Lakers
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
playoff direct
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
49.9% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 58.0
Los Angeles Lakers finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 58.0, ranked #13 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring90.4
Defense43.2
Possession36.8
Creation39.0
Discipline73.4
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 554.3
GAME 1054.1
GAME 2058.8
GAME 4149.8
GAME 6053.2
FINAL58.0
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2068.4#2/30
2020–2158.3#9/30
2021–2238.2#24/30
2022–2354.5#12/30
2023–2457.8#11/30
2024–2556.0#13/30
2025–2658.0#13/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
Luka Dončić1 governed next-game sample100dependency-2.7 pp if OUTCollin Sexton1 governed next-game sample86dependency-1.6 pp if OUTSandro Mamukelashvili1 governed next-game sample82dependency-1.2 pp if OUTAustin Reaves1 governed next-game sample57dependency-0.3 pp if OUTZiaire Williams1 governed next-game sample40dependency-0.4 pp if OUTPROFILE FIT · rebounding
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Rudy GobertMIN · rebounding94Mitchell RobinsonBOS · rebounding93Donovan ClinganPOR · rebounding93Jalen DurenDET · rebounding93Kel'el WareMIL · rebounding93PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERLeBron James
EXPECTED MIN29.5
SCORING SHARE17.7%
CREATION SHARE27.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR78.8%
WITH/WITHOUT+6.56 residual pts
PLAYERLuka Doncic
EXPECTED MIN27.2
SCORING SHARE29.5%
CREATION SHARE32.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.9%
WITH/WITHOUT+5.58 residual pts
PLAYERRui Hachimura
EXPECTED MIN24.3
SCORING SHARE9.9%
CREATION SHARE3.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.2%
WITH/WITHOUT-2.59 residual pts
PLAYERLuke Kennard
EXPECTED MIN24.3
SCORING SHARE8.8%
CREATION SHARE8.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR86.2%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERDeandre Ayton
EXPECTED MIN24.2
SCORING SHARE10.6%
CREATION SHARE3.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR78.7%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.32 residual pts
PLAYERAustin Reaves
EXPECTED MIN24.1
SCORING SHARE20.4%
CREATION SHARE23.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR65.9%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.84 residual pts
PLAYERJake LaRavia
EXPECTED MIN23.6
SCORING SHARE6.8%
CREATION SHARE6.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.4%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERMarcus Smart
EXPECTED MIN22.3
SCORING SHARE8.3%
CREATION SHARE11.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.5%
WITH/WITHOUT+5.57 residual pts
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.