Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Matisse Thybulle
Los Angeles Lakers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER40.22025–26
NBA RANK#250of 409
PH$7.8MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN19.2governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Golden State Warriors2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.0 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN15.8
PTS6.0
REB1.8
AST0.8
STL2.0
BLK0.6
3PM1.2
FG%46.7%
3P%42.5%
FT%84.0%
+/-+2.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Los Angeles Lakers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL7minutes
EXPECTED23.99pregame reference
DEVIATION-70.8%low minutes deviation
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G7.6 PTS · 1.8 REB · 1.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G3.8 PTS · 1 REB · 0.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G7.1 PTS · 1.9 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT8 G4.88 PTS · 1 REB · 0.38 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.9%678/1546
2-POINT57.3%353/616
3-POINT34.9%325/930
FREE THROW68.0%132/194
EFFECTIVE FG%54.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.6%
AST / TO1.85
PTS PER 368.65rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 191 | 20.97 | 5.38 | 2.09 | 1.15 | 0.94 | 1.63 | 0.85 |
| Away | 174 | 20.37 | 4.52 | 1.98 | 1.03 | 0.83 | 1.52 | 0.71 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.6 | +0.9 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.09 | high |
| minutes | 14.2 | 20 | 28 | 20.68 | medium |
| points | 1.8 | 5 | 8 | 4.97 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2.04 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs SAC | 7 | 23.99 | -70.8% | 5 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 | 63% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs LAC | 18 | 23.61 | -23.7% | 6 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +16.0 | 51% |
| 2026-04-08 | @ SAS | 24 | 22.97 | +4.5% | 0 | 0/5 | 0/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -19.0 | 0% |
| 2026-04-06 | @ DEN | 33 | 20.79 | +58.7% | 14 | 5/7 | 1/1 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +8.0 | 100% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs NOP | 31 | 18.11 | +71.1% | 13 | 4/9 | 1/1 | 3/8 | 2/2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +21.0 | 66% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ LAC | 24 | 16.52 | +45.3% | 5 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +7.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs DAL | 16 | 15.65 | +2.2% | 4 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs MIL | 23 | 13.11 | +75.5% | 14 | 5/7 | 2/2 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +23.0 | 94% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs BKN | 19 | 12.4 | +53.3% | 10 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +8.0 | 65% |
| 2026-03-20 | @ MIN | 16 | 12.19 | +31.2% | 5 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.0 | 43% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/25 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/25 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/25 games
2+ THREES24.0%6/25 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | POR | 25 | 15.8 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 46.7% | 42.5% | 84.0% |
| 2024–25 | POR | 14 | 20.6 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 48.1% | 46.5% | 46.7% |
| 2023–24 | POR | 64 | 22.7 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 39.5% | 34.8% | 75.0% |
| 2022–23 | PHIPOR | 69 | 17.4 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 43.5% | 36.5% | 67.9% |
| 2021–22 | PHI | 65 | 25.6 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 50.0% | 31.5% | 79.1% |
| 2020–21 | PHI | 64 | 20.0 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 41.7% | 29.3% | 44.4% |
| 2019–20 | PHI | 64 | 19.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 42.0% | 35.3% | 61.0% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | POR | 30 | 40.2 | #250 / 409 | 7.8M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | POR | 64 | 30.3 | #378 / 409 | 6.5M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | POR | 71 | 32.6 | #348 / 408 | 6.6M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | PHI | 74 | 37.3 | #309 / 423 | 9.2M | Depth |
| 2020–21 | PHI | 78 | 29.9 | #367 / 410 | 7M | Depth |
| 2019–20 | PHI | 69 | 28.5 | #354 / 385 | 6.5M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER40.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#250of 409 ranked
PH$7.8MDepth
SAMPLE30observed games
Ball security47
Box defence68
Creation19
Efficiency56
Rebounding23
Scoring28
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+3.5 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+3.9 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY19-0.0 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
EXPECTED MIN11.6
SCORING SHARE4.6%
CREATION SHARE3.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR66.7%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.