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PROBABILITIES

Probabilities

2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE

Game forecasts

1200 games
2026-10-20Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons
BOS 45.3%DET 54.7%
Projected111–113
2026-10-20Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks
PHI 28.8%NYK 71.2%
Projected109–116
2026-10-20Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
OKC 45.5%SAS 54.5%
Projected112–114
2026-10-21Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic
ATL 50.6%ORL 49.4%
Projectedwithheld
2026-10-21Milwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards
MIL 45.0%WAS 55.0%
Projected114–115
2026-10-21Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat
MIN 43.6%MIA 56.4%
Projected113–116
2026-10-21Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets
CHA 66.0%BKN 34.0%
Projected113–112
2026-10-21Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors
CHI 33.8%TOR 66.2%
Projected112–116
2026-10-21Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies
UTA 36.8%MEM 63.2%
Projected113–117
2026-10-21Indiana Pacers @ New Orleans Pelicans
IND 42.3%NOP 57.7%
Projected113–116
2026-10-21Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets
DAL 28.1%HOU 71.9%
Projected110–116
2026-10-21Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers
GSW 34.7%LAL 65.3%
Projected112–115
2026-10-21Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers
PHX 44.7%POR 55.3%
Projected111–114
2026-10-21Sacramento Kings @ LA Clippers
SAC 30.6%LAC 69.4%
Projected112–117
2026-10-22Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers
CLE 45.5%PHI 54.5%
Projected113–114
2026-10-22Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
DEN 33.0%OKC 67.0%
Projected112–117
2026-10-23New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics
NYK 49.2%BOS 50.8%
Projected111–112
2026-10-23Atlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Hornets
ATL 42.8%CHA 57.2%
Projected112–115
2026-10-23Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers
DAL 35.1%IND 64.9%
Projected113–116
2026-10-23Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic
MIN 47.5%ORL 52.5%
Projected112–114
2026-10-23Toronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards
TOR 53.7%WAS 46.3%
Projected115–114
2026-10-23Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat
DET 49.1%MIA 50.9%
Projected113–114
2026-10-23Chicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks
CHI 42.1%MIL 57.9%
Projected113–115
2026-10-23Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs
HOU 37.6%SAS 62.4%
Projected110–115

Pregame only. Final-result draw probability is not applicable. Score uses the governed Score authority and is not modified by What If.

GAME FORECASTS

1200 assigned games active

These are the same pregame Game Win forecasts used by Schedule. Probabilities does not recompute them.

82-GAME SEASON OUTLOOK

Withheld

Expected wins, seed, playoffs, Finals and title probabilities remain withheld while 30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups are still unassigned.

Two different contracts

Game forecasts are active for the 1,200 officially assigned games. Season probabilities require the complete regular-season schedule and their own activation gate. Assigned Expected Wins shown on team pages are explicitly the sum over assigned games only — never presented as an 82-game projection.