Final audited reference season.
Portland Trail BlazersWEST · NORTHWEST
Portland Trail Blazers
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
play in
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
50.2% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 45.0
Portland Trail Blazers finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 45.0, ranked #20 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring42.2
Defense57.7
Possession47.9
Creation13.7
Discipline46.8
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 553.7
GAME 1049.2
GAME 2040.2
GAME 4137.8
GAME 6039.5
FINAL45.0
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2039.4#21/30
2020–2149.3#16/30
2021–2223.7#30/30
2022–2336.6#26/30
2023–2420.4#29/30
2024–2535.2#24/30
2025–2645.0#20/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
Deni Avdija1 governed next-game sample97dependency-2.8 pp if OUTDonovan Clingan1 governed next-game sample86dependency-2.0 pp if OUTJrue Holiday1 governed next-game sample70dependency-1.4 pp if OUTRobert Williams III1 governed next-game sample64dependency-0.8 pp if OUTShaedon Sharpe1 governed next-game sample49dependency-0.9 pp if OUTPROFILE FIT · box defense
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Paul ReedDET · box defense80Mitchell RobinsonBOS · box defense79Ausar ThompsonDET · box defense75Goga BitadzeORL · box defense70Daniel GaffordDAL · box defense70PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERToumani Camara
EXPECTED MIN33.0
SCORING SHARE11.4%
CREATION SHARE10.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.4%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERDeni Avdija
EXPECTED MIN27.7
SCORING SHARE20.9%
CREATION SHARE26.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.7%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERDonovan Clingan
EXPECTED MIN25.1
SCORING SHARE10.0%
CREATION SHARE8.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.5%
WITH/WITHOUT-0.35 residual pts
PLAYERJrue Holiday
EXPECTED MIN24.4
SCORING SHARE14.0%
CREATION SHARE26.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR73.2%
WITH/WITHOUT+6.09 residual pts
PLAYERScoot Henderson
EXPECTED MIN23.9
SCORING SHARE12.4%
CREATION SHARE13.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.4%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERShaedon Sharpe
EXPECTED MIN23.1
SCORING SHARE18.4%
CREATION SHARE10.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR72.6%
WITH/WITHOUT-1.30 residual pts
PLAYERJerami Grant
EXPECTED MIN21.9
SCORING SHARE16.9%
CREATION SHARE8.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR69.6%
WITH/WITHOUT-3.07 residual pts
PLAYERKris Murray
EXPECTED MIN18.2
SCORING SHARE5.1%
CREATION SHARE4.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR71.9%
WITH/WITHOUT-4.07 residual pts
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.