Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Goga Bitadze
Orlando Magic current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER60.42025–26
NBA RANK#19of 409
PH$20.8MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Atlanta Hawks2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN15.0
PTS5.7
REB4.9
AST1.3
STL0.6
BLK0.9
3PM0.0
FG%67.0%
3P%18.2%
FT%70.9%
+/-+0.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Orlando Magic
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL16minutes
EXPECTED17.46pregame reference
DEVIATION-8.4%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G6.8 PTS · 6.8 REB · 1.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G4 PTS · 5.2 REB · 1.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G5.5 PTS · 5.1 REB · 1.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.9 PTS · 4 REB · 1.1 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS55.9%829/1483
2-POINT63.6%765/1203
3-POINT22.9%64/280
FREE THROW67.0%358/534
EFFECTIVE FG%58.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%60.5%
AST / TO1.67
PTS PER 3613.55rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 188 | 15.08 | 5.78 | 4.44 | 1.29 | 0.18 | 0.43 | 1.08 |
| Away | 189 | 14.24 | 5.26 | 4.15 | 1.11 | 0.16 | 0.49 | 1 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.8 | +0.5 | +0.3 | +0.2 | +0.0 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | high |
| minutes | 5.9 | 14.6 | 22 | 14.66 | high |
| points | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5.52 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4.29 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES266.9% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ BOS | 16 | 17.46 | -8.4% | 5 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1.0 | 87% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIN | 22 | 15.78 | +39.4% | 14 | 6/11 | 6/11 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +21.0 | 59% |
| 2026-04-06 | vs DET | 24 | 13.78 | +74.2% | 9 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -12.0 | 65% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ NOP | 16 | 13.14 | +21.8% | 6 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +9.0 | 75% |
| 2026-04-03 | @ DAL | 12 | 13.13 | -8.6% | 2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 | 53% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATL | 15 | 13.29 | +12.9% | 4 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs PHX | 14 | 13.34 | +5% | 3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.0 | 54% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ TOR | 10 | 14.14 | -29.3% | 6 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -22.0 | 48% |
| 2026-03-26 | vs SAC | 13 | 13 | 0% | 6 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.0 | 77% |
| 2026-03-24 | @ CLE | 14 | 11.46 | +22.2% | 4 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.0 | 67% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/62 games
10+ REBOUNDS4.8%3/62 games
5+ ASSISTS3.2%2/62 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/62 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | ORL | 62 | 15.0 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 67.0% | 18.2% | 70.9% |
| 2024–25 | ORL | 68 | 20.9 | 7.4 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 61.1% | 10.7% | 64.1% |
| 2023–24 | ORL | 61 | 15.7 | 5.1 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 60.3% | 14.3% | 65.5% |
| 2022–23 | INDORL | 38 | 12.0 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 55.2% | 23.1% | 54.8% |
| 2021–22 | IND | 50 | 14.6 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 52.0% | 28.7% | 68.1% |
| 2020–21 | IND | 45 | 12.5 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 42.8% | 25.3% | 73.8% |
| 2019–20 | IND | 53 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 46.3% | 19.1% | 72.7% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | ORL | 70 | 60.4 | #19 / 409 | 20.8M | Core |
| 2024–25 | ORL | 72 | 59.9 | #34 / 422 | 21.3M | Core |
| 2023–24 | ORL | 64 | 54.6 | #69 / 409 | 17.2M | Core |
| 2022–23 | ORL | 38 | 51.0 | #88 / 408 | 13.6M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | IND | 63 | 52.9 | #73 / 423 | 16.5M | Core |
| 2020–21 | IND | 55 | 45.2 | #172 / 410 | 10.6M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | IND | 72 | 32.1 | #318 / 385 | 6M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER60.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#19of 409 ranked
PH$20.8MCore
SAMPLE70observed games
Ball security30
Box defence70
Creation32
Efficiency90
Rebounding87
Scoring24
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT+3.4 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-14.9 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
ORL
Orlando Magic
EXPECTED MIN11.9
SCORING SHARE4.9%
CREATION SHARE4.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR71.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.