CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Deni Avdija

Portland Trail Blazers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Portland Trail Blazers · current teamFIsraelMaccabi Tel Aviv

AF-PLAYER59.02025–26

NBA RANK#26of 409

PH$26.3MHigh Value · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN38.2governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Phoenix Suns2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-2.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES417

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS13.3

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS6.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS3.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

62 games

MIN33.5

PTS24.5

REB6.9

AST6.6

STL0.7

BLK0.7

3PM1.9

FG%46.1%

3P%32.1%

FT%80.4%

+/--0.1

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Portland Trail Blazers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Phoenix Suns55.3% winProjected 111–114

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Sacramento Kings54.2% winProjected 114–114

2026-10-27 · AWAY@ Los Angeles Lakers36.7% winProjected 111–115

2026-10-29 · HOMEvs Memphis Grizzlies64.5% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-31 · AWAY@ Utah Jazz56.6% winProjected 114–114

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL33minutes

EXPECTED35.11pregame reference

DEVIATION-6%role consistent

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G28.2 PTS · 5.6 REB · 7 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G27 PTS · 6.2 REB · 7.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G22.5 PTS · 5.7 REB · 5.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G25.9 PTS · 5.7 REB · 5.4 AST

creation→

efficiency↑

minutes→

rebounding→

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 417 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS46.2%1894/4096

2-POINT54.4%1360/2500

3-POINT33.5%534/1596

FREE THROW77.1%1204/1562

EFFECTIVE FG%52.8%

TRUE SHOOTING%57.8%

AST / TO1.7

PTS PER 3617.07rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

208 HOME · 209 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	208	28.36	13.49	6.5	3.49	1.32	0.75	0.45
Away	209	27.54	13.01	6.17	3.27	1.24	0.83	0.5
Home − Away	—	+0.8	+0.5	+0.3	+0.2	+0.1	-0.1	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

417 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	3	5	3.38	high
minutes	21.4	28	35	27.95	low
points	6	12	20	13.25	high
rebounds	4	6	9	6.34	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

417 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES6916.6% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES51.2% of games

10+ ASSISTS143.4%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-12	vs SAC	33	35.11	-6%	25	9/19	4/10	5/9	2/3	0	6	6	10	0	0	3	1	+12.0	62%
2026-04-10	vs LAC	35	35.63	-1.8%	35	11/19	10/13	1/6	12/13	0	4	4	5	1	1	3	3	+9.0	71%
2026-04-08	@ SAS	38	33.65	+12.9%	29	13/21	12/18	1/3	2/4	2	4	6	6	0	0	6	3	+7.0	64%
2026-04-06	@ DEN	40	30.46	+31.3%	26	6/15	5/9	1/6	13/14	0	4	4	7	1	1	4	3	-15.0	61%
2026-04-02	vs NOP	37	28.81	+28.4%	26	7/20	5/13	2/7	10/13	1	7	8	7	2	1	3	4	+10.0	51%
2026-03-31	@ LAC	34	28.16	+20.7%	28	8/15	7/11	1/4	11/12	2	9	11	8	0	0	2	2	+8.0	69%
2026-03-27	vs DAL	38	26.22	+44.9%	20	8/15	8/12	0/3	4/9	0	9	9	6	1	2	5	2	-8.0	53%
2026-03-25	vs MIL	25	25.07	-0.3%	18	4/8	3/3	1/5	9/11	0	4	4	7	0	1	4	0	+6.0	70%
2026-03-23	vs BKN	21	22.41	-6.3%	18	4/10	4/7	0/3	10/12	3	2	5	2	1	0	3	5	+7.0	59%
2026-03-20	@ MIN	36	17.67	+103.8%	25	7/18	5/13	2/5	9/11	3	5	8	5	0	0	4	3	-1.0	55%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS75.8%47/62 games

10+ REBOUNDS16.1%10/62 games

5+ ASSISTS75.8%47/62 games

2+ THREES59.7%37/62 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	POR	62	33.5	24.5	6.9	6.6	46.1%	32.1%	80.4%
2024–25	POR	70	30.1	17.0	7.3	4.0	47.8%	36.8%	77.6%
2023–24	WAS	75	30.1	14.7	7.2	3.8	50.6%	37.5%	74.0%
2022–23	WAS	76	26.6	9.2	6.4	2.8	43.7%	29.7%	73.9%
2021–22	WAS	80	24.2	8.4	5.2	2.0	43.3%	32.1%	75.7%
2020–21	WAS	54	23.3	6.3	4.8	1.2	41.7%	31.6%	64.4%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	POR	68	59.0	#26 / 409	26.3M	High Value
2024–25	POR	70	55.1	#60 / 422	22.7M	Core
2023–24	WAS	75	50.4	#112 / 409	19.1M	Core
2022–23	WAS	76	34.9	#315 / 408	8.6M	Depth
2021–22	WAS	80	37.0	#312 / 423	9.3M	Depth
2020–21	WAS	54	29.3	#371 / 410	6.5M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#26 OF 409

AF-PLAYER59.0descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#26of 409 ranked

PH$26.3MHigh Value

SAMPLE68observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+9.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+7.9 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+4.5 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY97-2.8 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

EXPECTED MIN27.7

SCORING SHARE20.9%

CREATION SHARE26.0%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.7%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.