Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Donovan Clingan
Portland Trail Blazers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER53.72025–26
NBA RANK#67of 409
PH$22.3MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN32.2governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Phoenix Suns2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-2.0 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN27.4
PTS11.9
REB11.5
AST2.2
STL0.6
BLK1.6
3PM1.1
FG%51.7%
3P%34.4%
FT%66.3%
+/--0.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Portland Trail Blazers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL24minutes
EXPECTED26.96pregame reference
DEVIATION-11%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G12.8 PTS · 11 REB · 2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G12.8 PTS · 11 REB · 2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G9.5 PTS · 10.6 REB · 1.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G13.8 PTS · 11.4 REB · 2 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS52.4%492/938
2-POINT60.3%401/665
3-POINT33.3%91/273
FREE THROW64.4%183/284
EFFECTIVE FG%57.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%59.2%
AST / TO1.46
PTS PER 3614.13rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 67 | 23.79 | 8.79 | 9.7 | 1.55 | 0.67 | 0.58 | 1.69 |
| Away | 68 | 23.68 | 9.84 | 9.78 | 1.81 | 0.68 | 0.49 | 1.6 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.1 | -1.1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.0 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.68 | high |
| minutes | 17 | 25 | 30 | 23.73 | low |
| points | 4 | 8 | 14 | 9.32 | high |
| rebounds | 6 | 9 | 13.2 | 9.74 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES3928.9% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs SAC | 24 | 26.96 | -11% | 13 | 6/10 | 5/8 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +9.0 | 65% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs LAC | 28 | 27.52 | +1.8% | 18 | 6/12 | 3/5 | 3/7 | 3/3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -9.0 | 68% |
| 2026-04-08 | @ SAS | 28 | 27.09 | +3.4% | 11 | 4/7 | 1/2 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -4.0 | 79% |
| 2026-04-06 | @ DEN | 30 | 26.58 | +12.9% | 18 | 6/13 | 3/7 | 3/6 | 3/4 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -5.0 | 61% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs NOP | 22 | 27.77 | -20.8% | 4 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +1.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ LAC | 29 | 27.49 | +5.5% | 4 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12.0 | 40% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs DAL | 32 | 25.53 | +25.3% | 6 | 2/9 | 2/8 | 0/1 | 2/4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4.0 | 28% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs MIL | 25 | 25.41 | -1.6% | 14 | 6/8 | 5/6 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +26.0 | 79% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs BKN | 24 | 26.64 | -9.9% | 7 | 3/10 | 3/8 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +9.0 | 32% |
| 2026-03-20 | @ MIN | 31 | 26.26 | +18.1% | 21 | 9/13 | 8/8 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +2.0 | 76% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS10.0%7/70 games
10+ REBOUNDS67.1%47/70 games
5+ ASSISTS10.0%7/70 games
2+ THREES31.4%22/70 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | POR | 76 | 53.7 | #67 / 409 | 22.3M | Core |
| 2024–25 | POR | 65 | 45.4 | #185 / 422 | 12.5M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER53.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#67of 409 ranked
PH$22.3MCore
SAMPLE76observed games
Ball security66
Box defence56
Creation33
Efficiency53
Rebounding93
Scoring38
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+11.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+27.5 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+5.2 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY86-2.0 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
EXPECTED MIN25.1
SCORING SHARE10.0%
CREATION SHARE8.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.5%
-0.35 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 58 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.