CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Jeremy Sochan

Portland Trail Blazers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Portland Trail Blazers · current teamF

AF-PLAYER39.52025–26

NBA RANK#260of 409

PH$7.6MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Phoenix Suns2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES224

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS9.9

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS5.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

41 games

MIN10.8

PTS3.5

REB2.4

AST0.9

STL0.4

BLK0.1

3PM0.3

FG%47.6%

3P%24.4%

FT%72.7%

+/--2.1

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Portland Trail Blazers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Phoenix Suns55.3% winProjected 111–114

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Sacramento Kings54.2% winProjected 114–114

2026-10-27 · AWAY@ Los Angeles Lakers36.7% winProjected 111–115

2026-10-29 · HOMEvs Memphis Grizzlies64.5% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-31 · AWAY@ Utah Jazz56.6% winProjected 114–114

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL20minutes

EXPECTED1.76pregame reference

DEVIATION+1035.7%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G2.4 PTS · 1.4 REB · 1 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G0.8 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G1.4 PTS · 0.7 REB · 0.5 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.4 PTS · 1.7 REB · 1.2 AST

creation↓

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↓

COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 224 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS46.7%889/1904

2-POINT53.1%747/1406

3-POINT28.5%142/498

FREE THROW72.6%294/405

EFFECTIVE FG%50.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%53.2%

AST / TO1.64

PTS PER 3614.69rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

112 HOME · 112 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	112	24.82	10.3	5.7	2.65	0.71	0.8	0.41
Away	112	23.62	9.46	5.12	2.31	0.56	0.67	0.45
Home − Away	—	+1.2	+0.8	+0.6	+0.3	+0.1	+0.1	-0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

224 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	2	4	2.48	high
minutes	16.6	27	32	24.22	medium
points	2	10	16	9.88	high
rebounds	3	5	8	5.41	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

224 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES177.6% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-12	vs CHA	20	1.76	+1035.7%	12	4/9	2/3	2/6	2/2	3	3	6	5	0	0	4	-10.0	61%
2026-04-10	vs TOR	6	0.74	+716.1%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	-3.0	—
2026-03-31	@ HOU	2	1.83	+9.2%	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2.0	50%
2026-03-22	vs WAS	8	0.62	+1186.5%	8	3/4	3/4	0/0	2/2	2	4	6	1	0	0	1	+9.0	82%
2026-03-06	@ DEN	9	3.84	+134.6%	2	1/1	1/1	0/0	0/0	0	3	3	2	3	2	0	+13.0	100%
2026-03-04	vs OKC	2	5.07	-60.5%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+5.0	—
2026-03-03	@ TOR	1	5.6	-82.1%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2.0	—
2026-03-01	vs SAS	2	6.78	-70.5%	1	0/0	0/0	0/0	1/2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	+2.0	57%
2026-02-27	@ MIL	6	6.94	-13.5%	2	1/3	1/1	0/2	0/0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	-3.0	33%
2026-02-24	@ CLE	5	7.6	-34.2%	0	0/1	0/1	0/0	0/0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	+1.0	0%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/41 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/41 games

5+ ASSISTS4.9%2/41 games

2+ THREES9.8%4/41 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	NYK SAS	41	10.8	3.5	2.4	0.9	47.6%	24.4%	72.7%
2024–25	SAS	53	25.1	11.2	6.5	2.4	53.1%	30.4%	69.9%
2023–24	SAS	74	29.6	11.6	6.4	3.4	43.8%	30.8%	77.1%
2022–23	SAS	56	26.0	11.0	5.3	2.5	45.3%	24.6%	69.8%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	NYK	49	39.5	#260 / 409	7.6M	Depth
2024–25	SAS	53	49.0	#138 / 422	14.8M	Rotation
2023–24	SAS	74	35.7	#324 / 409	8.8M	Depth
2022–23	SAS	56	34.7	#317 / 408	7.7M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#260 OF 409

AF-PLAYER39.5descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#260of 409 ranked

PH$7.6MDepth

SAMPLE49observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT-30.9 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-9.6 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

DECLINING

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

NYK

New York Knicks

EXPECTED MIN3.0

SCORING SHARE2.1%

CREATION SHARE2.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR51.6%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

EXPECTED MIN8.1

SCORING SHARE3.5%

CREATION SHARE3.2%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR59.8%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.