Final audited reference season.
San Antonio SpursWEST · SOUTHWEST
San Antonio Spurs
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
playoff direct
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
49.3% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 77.3
San Antonio Spurs finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 77.3, ranked #1 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring78.4
Defense82.7
Possession67.7
Creation75.4
Discipline79.0
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 570.3
GAME 1065.8
GAME 2064.0
GAME 4163.8
GAME 6069.9
FINAL77.3
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2052.3#14/30
2020–2147.1#21/30
2021–2255.8#14/30
2022–2326.4#28/30
2023–2437.7#23/30
2024–2548.4#19/30
2025–2677.3#1/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
Victor Wembanyama1 governed next-game sample100dependency-2.2 pp if OUTLuke Kornet1 governed next-game sample78dependency-0.7 pp if OUTStephon Castle1 governed next-game sample75dependency-0.8 pp if OUTDevin Vassell1 governed next-game sample67dependency-0.8 pp if OUTDe'Aaron Fox1 governed next-game sample58dependency-0.4 pp if OUTPROFILE FIT · rebounding
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Rudy GobertMIN · rebounding94Mitchell RobinsonBOS · rebounding93Donovan ClinganPOR · rebounding93Jalen DurenDET · rebounding93Kel'el WareMIL · rebounding93PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERDe'Aaron Fox
EXPECTED MIN29.7
SCORING SHARE15.6%
CREATION SHARE21.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR84.4%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.79 residual pts
PLAYERJulian Champagnie
EXPECTED MIN27.7
SCORING SHARE9.1%
CREATION SHARE5.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.6%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERDevin Vassell
EXPECTED MIN27.5
SCORING SHARE11.8%
CREATION SHARE9.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR79.0%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.14 residual pts
PLAYERStephon Castle
EXPECTED MIN26.4
SCORING SHARE14.4%
CREATION SHARE26.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.8%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.49 residual pts
PLAYERVictor Wembanyama
EXPECTED MIN25.0
SCORING SHARE21.0%
CREATION SHARE11.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.9%
WITH/WITHOUT+3.55 residual pts
PLAYERKeldon Johnson
EXPECTED MIN21.9
SCORING SHARE10.2%
CREATION SHARE4.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.6%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERHarrison Barnes
EXPECTED MIN21.4
SCORING SHARE7.1%
CREATION SHARE6.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR83.6%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERD. Harper
EXPECTED MIN20.3
SCORING SHARE10.4%
CREATION SHARE13.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR78.4%
WITH/WITHOUT-1.20 residual pts
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.