Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Tobias Harris
San Antonio Spurs current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER43.32025–26
NBA RANK#203of 409
PH$14.1MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN24.4governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Oklahoma City Thunder2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT-0.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN28.3
PTS13.4
REB5.1
AST2.5
STL0.9
BLK0.4
3PM1.3
FG%47.0%
3P%35.5%
FT%84.6%
+/-+5.8
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · San Antonio Spurs
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED19.05pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G5.4 PTS · 2 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G12.8 PTS · 5.8 REB · 5 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G5.9 PTS · 1.9 REB · 1.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G15.6 PTS · 6 REB · 2.9 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS48.6%3036/6246
2-POINT53.6%2346/4380
3-POINT37.0%690/1866
FREE THROW85.8%1076/1254
EFFECTIVE FG%54.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%57.6%
AST / TO2.17
PTS PER 3618.16rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 232 | 33.17 | 16.92 | 6.38 | 2.96 | 1.54 | 0.87 | 0.6 |
| Away | 242 | 32.42 | 16.17 | 6.17 | 2.88 | 1.38 | 0.86 | 0.64 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.8 | +0.8 | +0.2 | +0.1 | +0.2 | +0.0 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2.92 | high |
| minutes | 28 | 34 | 37 | 32.79 | low |
| points | 11 | 17 | 22 | 16.54 | medium |
| rebounds | 4 | 6 | 9 | 6.27 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES5511.6% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.2% of games
10+ ASSISTS10.2%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ CHA | 25 | 15.81 | +58.1% | 8 | 3/5 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2.0 | 63% |
| 2026-04-04 | @ PHI | 27 | 21.04 | +28.3% | 19 | 7/13 | 6/10 | 1/3 | 4/4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +26.0 | 64% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs MIN | 6 | 24.76 | -75.8% | 2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TOR | 33 | 23.42 | +40.9% | 12 | 4/9 | 3/6 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +7.0 | 56% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ MIN | 28 | 27.78 | +0.8% | 18 | 7/10 | 5/6 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +10.0 | 80% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs ATL | 35 | 27.69 | +26.4% | 22 | 9/17 | 7/12 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs LAL | 32 | 26.44 | +21.1% | 14 | 5/14 | 3/9 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 46% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs GSW | 25 | 26.35 | -5.1% | 13 | 6/10 | 5/9 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +29.0 | 65% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ WAS | 22 | 27.92 | -21.2% | 7 | 2/6 | 2/5 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +8.0 | 45% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ WAS | 27 | 28.47 | -5.2% | 12 | 4/11 | 4/9 | 0/2 | 4/4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +17.0 | 47% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS16.1%9/56 games
10+ REBOUNDS5.4%3/56 games
5+ ASSISTS12.5%7/56 games
2+ THREES30.4%17/56 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DET | 56 | 28.3 | 13.4 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 47.0% | 35.5% | 84.6% |
| 2024–25 | DET | 72 | 31.9 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 47.6% | 34.6% | 86.1% |
| 2023–24 | PHI | 70 | 33.9 | 17.2 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 48.7% | 35.3% | 87.8% |
| 2022–23 | PHI | 74 | 33.0 | 14.7 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 50.1% | 38.9% | 87.6% |
| 2021–22 | PHI | 70 | 34.6 | 17.2 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 48.0% | 36.8% | 85.3% |
| 2020–21 | PHI | 61 | 32.6 | 19.7 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 51.2% | 39.3% | 89.2% |
| 2019–20 | PHI | 71 | 34.3 | 19.8 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 47.5% | 37.9% | 80.5% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DET | 70 | 43.3 | #203 / 409 | 14.1M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | DET | 78 | 42.1 | #232 / 422 | 13.7M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | PHI | 77 | 46.3 | #158 / 409 | 17.2M | Core |
| 2022–23 | PHI | 85 | 45.0 | #176 / 408 | 16.7M | Core |
| 2021–22 | PHI | 82 | 46.0 | #161 / 423 | 18.2M | Core |
| 2020–21 | PHI | 73 | 54.8 | #59 / 410 | 24.4M | Core |
| 2019–20 | PHI | 75 | 48.7 | #109 / 385 | 20.6M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER43.3descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#203of 409 ranked
PH$14.1MRotation
SAMPLE70observed games
Ball security89
Box defence37
Creation37
Efficiency39
Rebounding32
Scoring49
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+0.5 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+5.4 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-5.1 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY40-0.4 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
DET
Detroit Pistons
EXPECTED MIN24.7
SCORING SHARE12.2%
CREATION SHARE9.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.0%
+6.95 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 36 normal-load / 5 nonparticipation games.