Final audited reference season.
Detroit PistonsEAST · CENTRAL
Detroit Pistons
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
playoff direct
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
49.7% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 71.0
Detroit Pistons finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 71.0, ranked #3 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring66.6
Defense93.6
Possession80.1
Creation57.8
Discipline0.0
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 547.1
GAME 1060.1
GAME 2062.2
GAME 4165.4
GAME 6067.9
FINAL71.0
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2039.3#22/30
2020–2135.7#26/30
2021–2226.0#28/30
2022–2321.2#30/30
2023–2421.6#28/30
2024–2552.6#17/30
2025–2671.0#3/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
Paul Reed1 governed next-game sample89dependency-1.3 pp if OUTCade Cunningham1 governed next-game sample79dependency-1.2 pp if OUTJalen Duren1 governed next-game sample74dependency+0.5 pp if OUTJohn Collins1 governed next-game sample66dependency-0.6 pp if OUTAusar Thompson1 governed next-game sample47dependency+0.4 pp if OUTPROFILE FIT · rebounding
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Rudy GobertMIN · rebounding94Mitchell RobinsonBOS · rebounding93Donovan ClinganPOR · rebounding93Kel'el WareMIL · rebounding93Robert Williams IIIPOR · rebounding92PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERCade Cunningham
EXPECTED MIN29.0
SCORING SHARE21.3%
CREATION SHARE37.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.1%
WITH/WITHOUT+3.00 residual pts
PLAYERDuncan Robinson
EXPECTED MIN26.3
SCORING SHARE10.1%
CREATION SHARE7.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR83.5%
WITH/WITHOUT+5.53 residual pts
PLAYERAusar Thompson
EXPECTED MIN25.3
SCORING SHARE8.8%
CREATION SHARE12.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR83.6%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERJalen Duren
EXPECTED MIN24.8
SCORING SHARE15.4%
CREATION SHARE7.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR79.0%
WITH/WITHOUT-7.09 residual pts
PLAYERTobias Harris
EXPECTED MIN24.7
SCORING SHARE12.2%
CREATION SHARE9.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.0%
WITH/WITHOUT+6.95 residual pts
PLAYERDaniss Jenkins
EXPECTED MIN17.0
SCORING SHARE7.1%
CREATION SHARE11.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR79.3%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERIsaiah Stewart
EXPECTED MIN16.8
SCORING SHARE8.1%
CREATION SHARE3.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.8%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERRon II Holland
EXPECTED MIN16.3
SCORING SHARE7.0%
CREATION SHARE4.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR80.0%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.