CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Isaac Jones

Detroit Pistons current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Detroit Pistons · current teamFWashington State

AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate

NBA RANK—not ranked

PH$—pending · how PH$ works

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN2.0governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Boston Celtics2026-10-20 WHAT IF IMPACT-1.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES43

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS3.2

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS1.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

4 games

MIN4.5

PTS1.3

REB0.5

AST0.3

STL0.0

BLK0.0

3PM0.0

FG%50.0%

3P%0.0%

FT%50.0%

+/--4.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Detroit Pistons

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-20 · HOMEvs Boston Celtics54.7% winProjected 111–113

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Miami Heat49.1% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Philadelphia 76ers49.0% winProjected 112–112

2026-10-27 · AWAY@ New York Knicks34.2% winProjected 110–114

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Charlotte Hornets59.7% winProjected 111–114

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED0.27pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0.4 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.2 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 43 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS64.7%55/85

2-POINT69.7%53/76

3-POINT—2/9

FREE THROW63.2%24/38

EFFECTIVE FG%65.9%

TRUE SHOOTING%66.8%

AST / TO0.87

PTS PER 3615.59rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

26 HOME · 17 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	26	6.69	3.23	1.46	0.35	0.04	0.15	0.35
Away	17	8.24	3.06	1.24	0.24	0.06	0.06	0.06
Home − Away	—	-1.6	+0.2	+0.2	+0.1	-0.0	+0.1	+0.3

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

43 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	0	1	0.3	high
minutes	2	5	13.2	7.3	high
points	0	2	6	3.16	high
rebounds	0	1	2.6	1.37	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

43 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

4 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	REB	AST	PF	+/-	TS%
2025-11-17	vs IND	1	—	—	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	-3.0	50%
2025-10-29	@ CHI	2	4.88	-59%	1	0/0	0/0	0/0	1/2	0	0	0	0	-1.0	57%
2025-10-26	vs LAL	1	12.15	-91.8%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0.0	—
2025-10-24	vs UTA	14	—	—	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	2	2	1	4	-12.0	50%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/4 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/4 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/4 games

2+ THREES0.0%0/4 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	DET SAC	4	4.5	1.3	0.5	0.3	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%
2024–25	SAC	39	7.6	3.4	1.5	0.3	65.4%	28.6%	63.9%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

PENDING SAMPLE

ProbHoops has observed 5 games of this player in 2025–26 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

DET

Detroit Pistons

EXPECTED MIN0.5

SCORING SHARE1.6%

CREATION SHARE0.0%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR47.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

SAC

Sacramento Kings

EXPECTED MIN3.7

SCORING SHARE1.0%

CREATION SHARE1.9%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR51.9%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.