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Sacramento Kings

WEST · PACIFIC

Sacramento Kings

Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.

2025–26 RECORD22–60

Final audited reference season.

CONFERENCE SEED#14

out

2026–27 SEASON PROBABILITYWithheld

30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.

2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE

Forecast path ahead

80 official games
ASSIGNED EXPECTED WINS31.6

Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.

ASSIGNED SCHEDULE SOS#3 / 30

50.7% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.

CURRENT AF-SCOREPending

Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.

NEXT 5

Upcoming assigned games

All game forecasts
2026-10-21 · AWAY@ LAC30.6% winProjected 112–117Open What If
2026-10-23 · HOMEvs POR45.8% winProjected 114–114Open What If
2026-10-25 · HOMEvs MEM53.8% winProjected 114–115Open What If
2026-10-27 · AWAY@ SAS23.4% winProjected 110–118Open What If
2026-10-29 · AWAY@ NOP39.3% winProjected 113–117

2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE

AF-Score 26.0

#28 of 30

Sacramento Kings finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 26.0, ranked #28 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.

Scoring21.3
Defense11.5
Possession43.2
Creation32.9
Discipline44.6
100.0% detailed coverage82/82 games with complete detail0–100 descriptive scale

SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION

How the 2025–26 profile developed

Compared after the same number of team games.
GAME 543.1
GAME 1037.8
GAME 2028.8
GAME 4123.2
GAME 6022.0
FINAL26.0

AF-SCORE HISTORY

Seven-season performance trail

2019–20 → 2025–26
2019–2042.3#20/30
2020–2140.7#24/30
2021–2234.1#25/30
2022–2362.2#6/30
2023–2457.1#14/30
2024–2552.6#16/30
2025–2626.0#28/30

All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.

2026–27 · NBA OFFICIAL CURRENT ROSTER

Roster AF-Player ranking

6 rated · 9 pending

Roster identity is NBA Official. AF-Player / NBA rank / PH$ use the latest completed measured season (2025–26); Expected Minutes comes from the accepted operational prior. Pending is not a low rank, and cold starts or unresolved historical identities receive no invented rating.

RATED PH$ COVERAGE6/1540% of current roster linked to an eligible 2025–26 rating
RATED PH$ TOTAL62.9MRated subset only; not a salary or complete roster price
TOP-5 RATED PH$55.8MFive highest PH$ values among rated current-roster identities
TOP-3 CONCENTRATION64%Share of rated PH$ carried by the top three rated values
TEAM RANK#1
PLAYERPrecious AchiuwaF · #9 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER45.8
NBA RANK#165
PH$14.9MRotation
EXPECTED MIN42.0
TEAM RANK#2
PLAYERZach LaVineG · #8 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER45.3
NBA RANK#172
PH$12.6MRotation
EXPECTED MIN42.0
TEAM RANK#3
PLAYERMalik MonkG · #0 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER44.9
NBA RANK#180
PH$12.8MRotation
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANK#4
PLAYERDaeqwon PlowdenG-F · #29 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER38.3
NBA RANK#283
PH$7.6MDepth
EXPECTED MIN30.5
TEAM RANK#5
PLAYERKeegan MurrayF · #13 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER37.2
NBA RANK#298
PH$7.1MDepth
EXPECTED MIN42.0
TEAM RANK#6
PLAYERDe'Andre HunterF-G · #15 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER37.2
NBA RANK#300
PH$7.9MDepth
EXPECTED MIN41.5
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERDomantas SabonisF-C · #11 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN42.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERAdam FlaglerG · #14 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERAlex KarabanF · #33 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERDarius Acuff Jr.G · #5 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERDylan CardwellC · #32 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYEREmanuel SharpG · #34 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERJonathan MogboF · #2 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERMaxime RaynaudC · #42 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERNique CliffordG · #10 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0

9 current-roster players remain Pending. They are listed after every eligible player and are never assigned an artificial low AF-Player or team rank.

E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Depth, dependency and profile fit

descriptive + model context

Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.

WEIGHTED AF-PLAYER40.9

Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.

OUTSIDE TOP-3 AF40.47

Mechanical role split, not official bench.

RATED MINUTES83%

Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.

TOP-3 ROLE SHARE53%

Expected Minutes concentration only.

STAR DEPENDENCY

No governed next-game What If dependency sample is available for this roster.

Open league roster intelligence

PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26

Who carried the largest pregame role?

historical reference

These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.

PLAYERDeMar DeRozan
EXPECTED MIN30.1
SCORING SHARE16.6%
CREATION SHARE16.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.4%
WITH/WITHOUT-1.88 residual pts
PLAYERRussell Westbrook
EXPECTED MIN23.4
SCORING SHARE13.4%
CREATION SHARE24.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR76.5%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERM. Raynaud
EXPECTED MIN22.1
SCORING SHARE9.6%
CREATION SHARE5.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.8%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERPrecious Achiuwa
EXPECTED MIN22.0
SCORING SHARE8.4%
CREATION SHARE4.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR86.2%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERN. Clifford
EXPECTED MIN21.2
SCORING SHARE6.7%
CREATION SHARE8.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR79.2%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERZach LaVine
EXPECTED MIN20.8
SCORING SHARE17.4%
CREATION SHARE9.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR63.3%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERKeegan Murray
EXPECTED MIN19.6
SCORING SHARE13.5%
CREATION SHARE6.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR57.3%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERDennis Schroder
EXPECTED MIN18.6
SCORING SHARE11.6%
CREATION SHARE20.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR67.7%
WITH/WITHOUT-4.10 residual pts

NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY

Current player status

checking

Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.

GAME DAY

Operational status

checking

Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.

PLAYER MILESTONES

Conditional-on-active probabilities

checking

Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.

MOVEMENT

Release-to-release change

checking

Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.

Attribution rule

ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.