CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Jonathan Mogbo

Sacramento Kings current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Sacramento Kings · current teamFSan Francisco

AF-PLAYER32.22024–25

NBA RANK#375of 422

PH$6.5MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role

NEXT GAME@ LA Clippers2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES97

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS4.3

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.7

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.6

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

36 games

MIN6.4

PTS1.5

REB1.7

AST0.6

STL0.3

BLK0.2

3PM0.0

FG%56.1%

3P%0.0%

FT%64.3%

+/--1.4

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Sacramento Kings

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ LA Clippers30.6% winProjected 112–117

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Portland Trail Blazers45.8% winProjected 114–114

2026-10-25 · HOMEvs Memphis Grizzlies53.8% winProjected 114–115

2026-10-27 · AWAY@ San Antonio Spurs23.4% winProjected 110–118

2026-10-29 · AWAY@ New Orleans Pelicans39.3% winProjected 113–117

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED5.28pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G1.2 PTS · 1.2 REB · 0.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT4 G1.25 PTS · 1.25 REB · 0 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.8 PTS · 1.3 REB · 0.5 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT4 G1.25 PTS · 1.25 REB · 0 AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 97 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS44.5%166/373

2-POINT49.0%151/308

3-POINT23.1%15/65

FREE THROW71.3%67/94

EFFECTIVE FG%46.5%

TRUE SHOOTING%50.0%

AST / TO1.97

PTS PER 3610.24rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

46 HOME · 51 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	46	13.46	3.89	3.26	1.39	0.22	0.52	0.33
Away	51	16.39	4.61	4.08	1.73	0.1	0.71	0.47
Home − Away	—	-2.9	-0.7	-0.8	-0.3	+0.1	-0.2	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

97 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	2.8	1.57	high
minutes	4	15	24	15	high
points	0	4	7	4.27	high
rebounds	1	3	6	3.69	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

97 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES22.1% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS11.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	@ NYK	17	2.54	+568.9%	6	2/2	2/2	0/0	2/2	0	5	5	1	0	0	2	4	-4.0	104%
2026-04-09	vs MIA	3	3.69	-18.7%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-11.0	—
2026-04-07	vs MIA	3	3.83	-21.7%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	+1.0	—
2026-04-05	@ BOS	1	4.2	-76.2%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2.0	—
2026-03-29	vs ORL	11	5.73	+92%	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	6	6	3	1	0	0	0	-1.0	50%
2026-03-27	vs NOP	4	5.72	-30.1%	0	0/1	0/1	0/0	0/0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	-10.0	0%
2026-03-25	@ LAC	4	5.42	-26.2%	4	1/1	1/1	0/0	2/2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	-3.0	106%
2026-03-22	@ PHX	17	2.66	+538.1%	8	3/5	3/5	0/0	2/3	1	0	1	2	3	1	0	0	-1.0	63%
2026-03-18	@ CHI	7	2.92	+139.4%	1	0/0	0/0	0/0	1/2	2	2	4	0	0	0	1	1	-6.0	57%
2026-03-15	vs DET	3	3.6	-16.8%	2	1/1	1/1	0/0	0/0	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	3	+2.0	100%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/36 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/36 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/36 games

2+ THREES0.0%0/36 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	TOR	36	6.4	1.5	1.7	0.6	56.1%	0.0%	64.3%
2024–25	TOR	61	20.1	5.9	4.8	2.1	43.1%	23.4%	72.5%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#375 OF 422

AF-PLAYER32.2descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#375of 422 ranked

PH$6.5MDepth

SAMPLE61observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

TOR

Toronto Raptors

EXPECTED MIN3.4

SCORING SHARE1.3%

CREATION SHARE1.8%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR49.8%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.