CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Zach LaVine

Sacramento Kings current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Sacramento Kings · current teamGUSAUCLA

AF-PLAYER45.32025–26

NBA RANK#172of 409

PH$12.6MRotation · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN42.0governed role

NEXT GAME@ LA Clippers2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES395

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS24.1

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS4.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS4.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

37 games

MIN31.8

PTS19.2

REB2.8

AST2.4

STL0.7

BLK0.3

3PM2.5

FG%47.8%

3P%38.7%

FT%87.5%

+/--7.4

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Sacramento Kings

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ LA Clippers30.6% winProjected 112–117

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Portland Trail Blazers45.8% winProjected 114–114

2026-10-25 · HOMEvs Memphis Grizzlies53.8% winProjected 114–115

2026-10-27 · AWAY@ San Antonio Spurs23.4% winProjected 110–118

2026-10-29 · AWAY@ New Orleans Pelicans39.3% winProjected 113–117

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED0.73pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G15 PTS · 1.8 REB · 2.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G13.9 PTS · 2.2 REB · 2.7 AST

creation↑

efficiency→

minutes↓

rebounding↓

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 395 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS48.4%3368/6962

2-POINT54.5%2210/4055

3-POINT39.8%1158/2907

FREE THROW84.0%1640/1952

EFFECTIVE FG%56.7%

TRUE SHOOTING%61.0%

AST / TO1.5

PTS PER 3624.92rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

202 HOME · 193 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	202	34.2	23.38	4.5	4.02	2.83	0.86	0.3
Away	193	35.58	24.93	4.44	4.34	3.04	0.88	0.34
Home − Away	—	-1.4	-1.6	+0.1	-0.3	-0.2	-0.0	-0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

395 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	2	4	6	4.17	high
minutes	32	35.3	38	34.87	low
points	17	24	32	24.14	medium
rebounds	2	4	6	4.47	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

395 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES133.3% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS51.3%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-02-06	vs LAC	18	19.11	-5.8%	6	2/6	2/3	0/3	2/2	0	2	2	4	1	1	0	1	-9.0	44%
2026-02-01	@ WAS	35	17.89	+95.7%	35	13/26	9/16	4/10	5/5	0	6	6	2	1	0	2	1	-8.0	62%
2026-01-30	@ BOS	23	20.35	+13%	17	5/9	4/5	1/4	6/7	1	3	4	1	0	0	1	1	-28.0	70%
2026-01-29	@ PHI	29	19.45	+49.1%	17	5/16	3/10	2/6	5/5	0	1	1	3	2	0	3	3	-3.0	47%
2026-01-23	@ CLE	23	31.31	-26.5%	10	4/8	2/3	2/5	0/0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-20.0	63%
2026-01-21	vs TOR	38	29.24	+30%	19	7/17	5/9	2/8	3/4	0	1	1	5	1	1	2	2	-14.0	51%
2026-01-20	vs MIA	22	29.31	-25%	18	7/10	4/6	3/4	1/2	0	1	1	5	0	0	1	2	-3.0	83%
2026-01-18	vs POR	29	28.57	+1.5%	18	5/13	2/5	3/8	5/6	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	-7.0	57%
2026-01-16	vs WAS	32	28.24	+13.3%	16	6/12	3/6	3/6	1/2	0	2	2	3	1	2	0	3	+10.0	62%
2026-01-14	vs NYK	36	27.05	+33.1%	25	8/14	3/5	5/9	4/4	0	5	5	1	0	0	3	4	+16.0	79%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS37.8%14/37 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/37 games

5+ ASSISTS8.1%3/37 games

2+ THREES70.3%26/37 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	SAC	37	31.8	19.2	2.8	2.4	47.8%	38.7%	87.5%
2024–25	CHI SAC	73	35.3	23.3	4.2	4.2	51.2%	44.4%	82.3%
2023–24	CHI	25	34.9	19.5	5.1	3.9	45.2%	34.9%	85.4%
2022–23	CHI	77	36.0	24.8	4.5	4.2	48.5%	37.5%	84.8%
2021–22	CHI	67	34.8	24.4	4.6	4.5	47.6%	39.0%	85.3%
2020–21	CHI	58	35.1	27.4	5.0	4.9	50.7%	41.9%	84.9%
2019–20	CHI	58	34.8	25.8	4.9	4.2	45.2%	38.5%	80.3%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	SAC	37	45.3	#172 / 409	12.6M	Rotation
2024–25	SAC	74	55.1	#59 / 422	24.3M	Core
2023–24	CHI	25	46.5	#154 / 409	12.4M	Rotation
2022–23	CHI	79	52.0	#79 / 408	23.1M	Core
2021–22	CHI	71	54.9	#58 / 423	24.2M	Core
2020–21	CHI	58	58.8	#32 / 410	25.1M	High Value
2019–20	CHI	58	51.8	#77 / 385	21.1M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#172 OF 409

AF-PLAYER45.3descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#172of 409 ranked

PH$12.6MRotation

SAMPLE37observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE-37.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-28.1 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+10.2 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

DECLINING

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

SAC

Sacramento Kings

EXPECTED MIN20.7

SCORING SHARE17.4%

CREATION SHARE9.0%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR63.3%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.