Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
M. Raynaud
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER48.42025–26
NBA RANK#130of 409
PH$17.3MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN26.6
PTS12.6
REB7.4
AST1.4
STL0.6
BLK0.5
3PM0.3
FG%57.0%
3P%33.8%
FT%78.3%
+/--6.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL37minutes
EXPECTED30.37pregame reference
DEVIATION+21.8%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G20 PTS · 9.8 REB · 2.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G18 PTS · 9.6 REB · 2.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G16.3 PTS · 8.9 REB · 1.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G18.6 PTS · 8.6 REB · 1.8 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS57.0%357/626
2-POINT60.0%333/555
3-POINT33.8%24/71
FREE THROW78.3%130/166
EFFECTIVE FG%59.0%
TRUE SHOOTING%62.1%
AST / TO1.04
PTS PER 3617.03rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 35 | 27 | 12.8 | 7.51 | 1.6 | 0.31 | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| Away | 34 | 26.18 | 12.35 | 7.32 | 1.12 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.8 | +0.5 | +0.2 | +0.5 | -0.1 | +0.2 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.36 | high |
| minutes | 21.2 | 26 | 35.4 | 26.59 | medium |
| points | 6 | 12 | 19 | 12.58 | high |
| rebounds | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7.42 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES1623.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ POR | 37 | 30.37 | +21.8% | 21 | 7/10 | 4/6 | 3/4 | 4/4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -9.0 | 89% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs GSW | 39 | 29.35 | +32.9% | 23 | 9/12 | 7/8 | 2/4 | 3/5 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +20.0 | 81% |
| 2026-04-07 | @ GSW | 26 | 30.36 | -14.4% | 17 | 7/14 | 7/13 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.0 | 56% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAC | 33 | 30.79 | +7.2% | 11 | 5/12 | 5/11 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -11.0 | 43% |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NOP | 29 | 30.4 | -4.6% | 28 | 11/14 | 11/13 | 0/1 | 6/7 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1.0 | 82% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ TOR | 23 | 31.94 | -28% | 6 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ BKN | 32 | 32.1 | -0.3% | 13 | 4/10 | 4/10 | 0/0 | 5/8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7.0 | 48% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ ATL | 30 | 34.42 | -12.8% | 18 | 5/8 | 3/6 | 2/2 | 6/8 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -21.0 | 78% |
| 2026-03-26 | @ ORL | 39 | 33.74 | +15.6% | 10 | 4/9 | 4/8 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.0 | 51% |
| 2026-03-24 | @ CHA | 30 | 33.31 | -9.9% | 16 | 6/14 | 5/11 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -42.0 | 51% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS18.8%13/69 games
10+ REBOUNDS24.6%17/69 games
5+ ASSISTS1.5%1/69 games
2+ THREES8.7%6/69 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | SAC | 69 | 26.6 | 12.6 | 7.4 | 1.4 | 57.0% | 33.8% | 78.3% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER48.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#130of 409 ranked
PH$17.3MCore
SAMPLE69observed games
Ball security60
Box defence29
Creation12
Efficiency67
Rebounding63
Scoring46
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
SAC
Sacramento Kings
EXPECTED MIN22.1
SCORING SHARE9.6%
CREATION SHARE5.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.8%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.