PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

DeMar DeRozan

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Sacramento Kings · last observed teamUSASouthern California

AF-PLAYER51.72025–26

NBA RANK#89of 409

PH$21.5MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSHistoricalno current binding

EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported

NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pending WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES505

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS23.0

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS4.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS5.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

72 games

MIN31.6

PTS18.3

REB3.0

AST4.1

STL1.0

BLK0.3

3PM0.6

FG%49.4%

3P%31.9%

FT%86.9%

+/--7.9

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED16.13pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G4.6 PTS · 0.4 REB · 1 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G14.2 PTS · 3 REB · 4 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G11.3 PTS · 1.7 REB · 2.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G13.5 PTS · 2.7 REB · 4.4 AST

creation↑

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↑

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 505 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS49.7%4162/8376

2-POINT52.1%3835/7367

3-POINT32.4%327/1009

FREE THROW86.5%2963/3427

EFFECTIVE FG%51.6%

TRUE SHOOTING%58.8%

AST / TO2.77

PTS PER 3623.52rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

256 HOME · 249 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	256	34.84	22.2	4.24	5.07	0.62	1.02	0.39
Away	249	35.56	23.82	4.51	5.22	0.68	0.96	0.37
Home − Away	—	-0.7	-1.6	-0.3	-0.1	-0.1	+0.1	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

505 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	3	5	7	5.14	medium
minutes	32	36	39	35.2	low
points	16	23	30	23	medium
rebounds	2	4	6	4.37	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

505 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES438.5% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS346.7%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-05	vs LAC	10	25.31	-60.5%	9	4/5	3/4	1/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	+2.0	90%
2026-04-03	vs NOP	23	26.39	-12.9%	14	7/11	7/11	0/0	0/0	0	2	2	5	2	0	0	2	+1.0	64%
2026-04-01	@ TOR	35	24.46	+43.1%	28	7/18	5/14	2/4	12/12	1	0	1	4	0	0	1	2	+2.0	60%
2026-03-28	@ ATL	30	27.05	+10.9%	22	9/18	8/16	1/2	3/3	2	2	4	3	0	0	3	2	-7.0	57%
2026-03-26	@ ORL	38	26.82	+41.7%	33	12/24	12/23	0/1	9/10	0	6	6	11	0	0	0	3	-5.0	58%
2026-03-24	@ CHA	29	28.26	+2.6%	7	3/10	3/8	0/2	1/3	1	3	4	5	0	0	2	0	-29.0	31%
2026-03-22	vs BKN	32	24.1	+32.8%	10	3/7	3/5	0/2	4/4	0	0	0	8	0	1	2	2	0.0	57%
2026-03-19	vs PHI	23	25.15	-8.5%	13	6/10	6/9	0/1	1/2	1	2	3	5	0	0	2	2	-26.0	60%
2026-03-17	vs SAS	17	27.23	-37.6%	2	1/4	1/4	0/0	0/0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	2	-30.0	25%
2026-03-14	@ LAC	37	24.85	+48.9%	27	11/14	11/13	0/1	5/5	0	0	0	7	1	0	4	4	+9.0	83%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS43.1%31/72 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/72 games

5+ ASSISTS44.4%32/72 games

2+ THREES12.5%9/72 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	SAC	72	31.6	18.3	3.0	4.1	49.4%	31.9%	86.9%
2024–25	SAC	76	36.1	22.2	3.9	4.5	47.7%	32.9%	85.6%
2023–24	CHI	79	37.9	24.0	4.3	5.3	48.0%	33.3%	85.3%
2022–23	CHI	74	36.3	24.5	4.6	5.1	50.4%	32.4%	87.2%
2021–22	CHI	75	36.0	27.6	5.1	4.9	50.2%	35.7%	87.8%
2020–21	SAS	61	33.7	21.6	4.3	6.9	49.5%	25.7%	87.9%
2019–20	SAS	68	34.1	22.1	5.5	5.6	53.1%	25.7%	84.5%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	SAC	72	51.7	#89 / 409	21.5M	Core
2024–25	SAC	77	50.9	#116 / 422	20.6M	Core
2023–24	CHI	81	55.3	#60 / 409	24.9M	Core
2022–23	CHI	76	54.8	#53 / 408	24.7M	Core
2021–22	CHI	80	55.5	#50 / 423	25.8M	High Value
2020–21	SAS	64	59.4	#30 / 410	25.5M	High Value
2019–20	SAS	69	58.7	#30 / 385	26.3M	High Value

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#89 OF 409

AF-PLAYER51.7descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#89of 409 ranked

PH$21.5MCore

SAMPLE72observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

SAC

Sacramento Kings

EXPECTED MIN30.1

SCORING SHARE16.6%

CREATION SHARE16.6%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.4%

-1.88 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 58 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.