CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Cam Spencer

Memphis Grizzlies current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Memphis Grizzlies · current teamGUConn

AF-PLAYER56.42025–26

NBA RANK#45of 409

PH$20.4MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN34.8governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Utah Jazz2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES78

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS8.9

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS4.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

54 games

MIN24.1

PTS10.9

REB2.6

AST5.5

STL0.7

BLK0.1

3PM2.1

FG%46.7%

3P%45.6%

FT%93.0%

+/--1.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Memphis Grizzlies

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Utah Jazz63.2% winProjected 113–117

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Golden State Warriors37.5% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Sacramento Kings46.2% winProjected 114–115

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Utah Jazz48.7% winProjected 115–116

2026-10-29 · AWAY@ Portland Trail Blazers35.5% winProjected 112–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED21.61pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.8 PTS · 1.6 REB · 3 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G1.1 PTS · 0.3 REB · 1 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G7.5 PTS · 1.8 REB · 3.9 AST

creation↓

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↓

COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 78 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS46.0%224/487

2-POINT48.7%91/187

3-POINT44.3%133/300

FREE THROW94.1%112/119

EFFECTIVE FG%59.7%

TRUE SHOOTING%64.2%

AST / TO3.99

PTS PER 3616.14rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

42 HOME · 36 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	42	19.95	9.74	2.12	4.1	1.98	0.64	0.07
Away	36	19.67	7.89	2.22	4.31	1.39	0.58	0.11
Home − Away	—	+0.3	+1.9	-0.1	-0.2	+0.6	+0.1	-0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

78 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	4	6.6	4.19	high
minutes	12	21	28	19.82	medium
points	2.4	7.5	15.6	8.88	high
rebounds	0	2	4	2.17	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

78 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES56.4% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS810.3%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-03-27	vs HOU	29	19.85	+46.1%	11	4/7	1/3	3/4	0/0	0	3	3	10	3	1	1	0	-16.0	79%
2026-03-25	vs SAS	30	18.57	+61.5%	1	0/6	0/4	0/2	1/1	1	1	2	7	0	0	1	0	-12.0	8%
2026-03-21	@ CHA	26	21.36	+21.7%	0	0/7	0/3	0/4	0/0	0	1	1	4	2	0	1	4	-4.0	0%
2026-03-20	vs BOS	23	21.7	+6%	11	4/8	1/3	3/5	0/0	2	1	3	5	1	0	0	0	-8.0	69%
2026-03-18	vs DEN	20	22.28	-10.2%	8	2/5	0/0	2/5	2/2	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	-1.0	68%
2026-03-03	@ MIN	24	22.79	+5.3%	10	3/6	2/4	1/2	3/4	0	2	2	4	1	0	1	3	+8.0	64%
2026-02-25	vs GSW	21	24.49	-14.3%	5	2/4	1/1	1/3	0/0	0	1	1	2	0	0	2	2	-29.0	63%
2026-02-21	@ MIA	21	24.49	-14.3%	0	0/5	0/1	0/4	0/0	0	2	2	5	0	1	0	1	-8.0	0%
2026-02-02	vs MIN	25	—	—	16	4/9	1/4	3/5	5/5	0	4	4	5	0	0	1	1	+4.0	71%
2026-01-31	vs MIN	25	—	—	5	2/4	1/2	1/2	0/0	0	3	3	5	2	0	1	2	-5.0	63%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS9.3%5/54 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/54 games

5+ ASSISTS53.7%29/54 games

2+ THREES61.1%33/54 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	MEM	54	24.1	10.9	2.6	5.5	46.7%	45.6%	93.0%
2024–25	MEM	24	10.1	4.3	1.2	1.3	42.3%	38.0%	100.0%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#45 OF 409

AF-PLAYER56.4descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#45of 409 ranked

PH$20.4MCore

SAMPLE54observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+11.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+10.7 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY61-0.2 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

MEM

Memphis Grizzlies

EXPECTED MIN22.1

SCORING SHARE9.7%

CREATION SHARE18.4%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.1%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.