Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Malik Monk
Sacramento Kings current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER44.92025–26
NBA RANK#180of 409
PH$12.8MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ LA Clippers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN22.4
PTS12.8
REB2.0
AST3.0
STL0.6
BLK0.4
3PM2.1
FG%44.0%
3P%40.1%
FT%87.4%
+/--4.0
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Sacramento Kings
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED14.93pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G4.4 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G10.6 PTS · 1.8 REB · 2.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G7 PTS · 1.2 REB · 3.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G10.2 PTS · 2.1 REB · 2.2 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.7%2182/4885
2-POINT52.8%1325/2511
3-POINT36.1%857/2374
FREE THROW84.8%815/961
EFFECTIVE FG%53.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%56.9%
AST / TO2.05
PTS PER 3619.75rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 215 | 24.46 | 13.49 | 2.6 | 3.63 | 1.92 | 0.64 | 0.45 |
| Away | 225 | 25.54 | 13.93 | 3.15 | 3.67 | 1.97 | 0.68 | 0.31 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.1 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.0 | -0.1 | -0.0 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3.65 | high |
| minutes | 19 | 26 | 31.5 | 25.01 | medium |
| points | 7 | 13 | 20 | 13.72 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2.88 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES71.6% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS61.4%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | vs GSW | 10 | 13.9 | -28% | 11 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3.0 | 92% |
| 2026-04-07 | @ GSW | 11 | 15.59 | -29.4% | 4 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 | 67% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAC | 14 | 17.35 | -19.3% | 7 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -19.0 | 70% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ TOR | 29 | 20.63 | +40.6% | 18 | 6/11 | 3/4 | 3/7 | 3/4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -5.0 | 71% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ ATL | 27 | 20.24 | +33.4% | 10 | 5/11 | 5/8 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -14.0 | 46% |
| 2026-03-26 | @ ORL | 32 | 16.02 | +99.7% | 13 | 5/12 | 2/3 | 3/9 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 54% |
| 2026-03-24 | @ CHA | 30 | 11.92 | +151.7% | 7 | 3/13 | 3/10 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -39.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-22 | vs BKN | 30 | 11.68 | +157% | 32 | 8/17 | 1/4 | 7/13 | 9/9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1.0 | 76% |
| 2026-03-19 | vs PHI | 16 | 12.22 | +30.9% | 4 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.0 | 34% |
| 2026-03-08 | vs CHI | 31 | 18.4 | +68.5% | 30 | 11/24 | 8/14 | 3/10 | 5/5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +16.0 | 57% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS15.5%9/58 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/58 games
5+ ASSISTS25.9%15/58 games
2+ THREES58.6%34/58 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | SAC | 58 | 22.4 | 12.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 44.0% | 40.1% | 87.4% |
| 2024–25 | SAC | 64 | 31.7 | 17.2 | 3.8 | 5.6 | 43.7% | 32.2% | 86.5% |
| 2023–24 | SAC | 71 | 26.0 | 15.3 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 44.7% | 35.6% | 83.3% |
| 2022–23 | SAC | 77 | 22.4 | 13.5 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 44.9% | 35.9% | 88.9% |
| 2021–22 | LAL | 73 | 28.2 | 13.8 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 47.5% | 39.5% | 79.1% |
| 2020–21 | CHA | 42 | 20.9 | 11.7 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 43.4% | 40.1% | 81.9% |
| 2019–20 | CHA | 55 | 21.3 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 43.4% | 28.4% | 82.0% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | SAC | 58 | 44.9 | #180 / 409 | 12.8M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | SAC | 64 | 44.8 | #193 / 422 | 14.5M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | SAC | 71 | 50.1 | #116 / 409 | 17.3M | Core |
| 2022–23 | SAC | 84 | 50.1 | #98 / 408 | 18.4M | Core |
| 2021–22 | LAL | 73 | 45.9 | #164 / 423 | 16.1M | Core |
| 2020–21 | CHA | 57 | 43.6 | #195 / 410 | 10.6M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | CHA | 62 | 36.8 | #269 / 385 | 8.3M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER44.9descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#180of 409 ranked
PH$12.8MRotation
SAMPLE58observed games
Ball security66
Box defence27
Creation53
Efficiency45
Rebounding9
Scoring66
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT+1.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-22.4 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
SAC
Sacramento Kings
EXPECTED MIN17.2
SCORING SHARE11.9%
CREATION SHARE11.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.0%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.