Final audited reference season.
Charlotte HornetsEAST · SOUTHEAST
Charlotte Hornets
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
play in
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
49.6% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 60.7
Charlotte Hornets finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 60.7, ranked #11 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring64.7
Defense63.1
Possession57.4
Creation45.7
Discipline66.8
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 554.2
GAME 1047.8
GAME 2044.3
GAME 4151.7
GAME 6056.7
FINAL60.7
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2033.7#26/30
2020–2147.7#20/30
2021–2256.3#13/30
2022–2335.1#27/30
2023–2420.0#30/30
2024–2523.0#29/30
2025–2660.7#11/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
Naz Reid1 governed next-game sample79dependency-1.7 pp if OUTCoby White1 governed next-game sample74dependency-1.4 pp if OUTBrandon Miller1 governed next-game sample74dependency-1.5 pp if OUTMoussa Diabaté1 governed next-game sample68dependency-1.2 pp if OUTGrant Williams1 governed next-game sample51dependency-1.3 pp if OUTPROFILE FIT · creation
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Davion MitchellMIA · creation92Cam SpencerMEM · creation91T.J. McConnellIND · creation89Andrew NembhardIND · creation89Tre JonesCHI · creation88PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERK. Knueppel
EXPECTED MIN30.3
SCORING SHARE15.9%
CREATION SHARE12.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR86.4%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERMiles Bridges
EXPECTED MIN28.6
SCORING SHARE14.9%
CREATION SHARE12.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.5%
WITH/WITHOUT+2.26 residual pts
PLAYERBrandon Miller
EXPECTED MIN24.4
SCORING SHARE16.2%
CREATION SHARE12.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR73.0%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERLaMelo Ball
EXPECTED MIN24.2
SCORING SHARE17.2%
CREATION SHARE28.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.5%
WITH/WITHOUT-0.32 residual pts
PLAYERMoussa Diabate
EXPECTED MIN22.7
SCORING SHARE6.9%
CREATION SHARE7.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR79.6%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.36 residual pts
PLAYERS. James
EXPECTED MIN21.9
SCORING SHARE4.6%
CREATION SHARE7.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.4%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERR. Kalkbrenner
EXPECTED MIN18.2
SCORING SHARE6.9%
CREATION SHARE2.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.5%
WITH/WITHOUT-0.11 residual pts
PLAYERCoby White
EXPECTED MIN17.8
SCORING SHARE13.3%
CREATION SHARE12.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR79.3%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.