Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Brandon Miller
Charlotte Hornets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER47.12025–26
NBA RANK#143of 409
PH$16.9MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN31.9governed role
NEXT GAME@ Brooklyn Nets2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.5 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN30.2
PTS19.8
REB4.9
AST3.3
STL1.0
BLK0.7
3PM3.1
FG%43.0%
3P%37.8%
FT%89.1%
+/-+5.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Charlotte Hornets
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL27minutes
EXPECTED31.58pregame reference
DEVIATION-14.5%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G13.6 PTS · 2.4 REB · 1.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G17 PTS · 3.2 REB · 2.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G17.3 PTS · 3.9 REB · 2.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G18.6 PTS · 4.2 REB · 2.7 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.9%1099/2563
2-POINT48.8%619/1269
3-POINT37.1%480/1294
FREE THROW86.2%399/463
EFFECTIVE FG%52.2%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.6%
AST / TO1.31
PTS PER 3621.38rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 86 | 32.66 | 20.08 | 4.9 | 3.09 | 3.14 | 0.88 | 0.73 |
| Away | 77 | 30.81 | 17.53 | 4.27 | 2.75 | 2.73 | 1.06 | 0.52 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.9 | +2.5 | +0.6 | +0.3 | +0.4 | -0.2 | +0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2.93 | high |
| minutes | 28 | 33 | 37 | 31.79 | low |
| points | 13 | 19 | 25 | 18.88 | medium |
| rebounds | 2.4 | 4 | 6 | 4.6 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES63.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ NYK | 27 | 31.58 | -14.5% | 19 | 5/12 | 2/4 | 3/8 | 6/7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +8.0 | 63% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs DET | 31 | 31.64 | -2% | 22 | 9/20 | 7/12 | 2/8 | 2/2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8.0 | 53% |
| 2026-04-07 | @ BOS | 34 | 31.33 | +8.5% | 20 | 8/16 | 6/8 | 2/8 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.0 | 59% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ MIN | 34 | 31.12 | +9.3% | 7 | 3/15 | 2/6 | 1/9 | 0/0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +22.0 | 23% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs PHX | 31 | 30.69 | +1% | 17 | 7/14 | 4/6 | 3/8 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +16.0 | 61% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ BKN | 29 | 31.14 | -6.9% | 25 | 7/13 | 3/5 | 4/8 | 7/7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +30.0 | 78% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BOS | 32 | 30.65 | +4.4% | 13 | 5/13 | 2/4 | 3/9 | 0/0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -15.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-28 | vs PHI | 34 | 29.66 | +14.6% | 29 | 8/17 | 3/6 | 5/11 | 8/10 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +8.0 | 68% |
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYK | 33 | 29.46 | +12% | 21 | 7/12 | 3/4 | 4/8 | 3/3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +11.0 | 79% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs SAC | 27 | 30.43 | -11.3% | 13 | 5/15 | 2/5 | 3/10 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +30.0 | 43% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS56.5%35/62 games
10+ REBOUNDS4.8%3/62 games
5+ ASSISTS21.0%13/62 games
2+ THREES85.5%53/62 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CHA | 64 | 47.1 | #143 / 409 | 16.9M | Core |
| 2024–25 | CHA | 27 | 43.1 | #217 / 422 | 10.3M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | CHA | 74 | 38.8 | #272 / 409 | 11.1M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER47.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#143of 409 ranked
PH$16.9MCore
SAMPLE64observed games
Ball security52
Box defence39
Creation34
Efficiency44
Rebounding28
Scoring82
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-6.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+16.5 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE+1.6 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY74-1.5 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
EXPECTED MIN24.4
SCORING SHARE16.2%
CREATION SHARE12.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR73.0%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.