CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

LaMelo Ball

Minnesota Timberwolves current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Minnesota Timberwolves · current teamGUSAIllawarra

AF-PLAYER52.92025–26

NBA RANK#75of 409

PH$21.6MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN31.1governed role

NEXT GAME@ Miami Heat2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-1.5 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES300

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS20.8

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS5.7

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS7.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

69 games

MIN28.0

PTS20.0

REB4.8

AST7.0

STL1.2

BLK0.2

3PM3.7

FG%40.4%

3P%36.3%

FT%90.2%

+/-+5.4

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Miami Heat43.6% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Orlando Magic47.5% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-25 · HOMEvs Toronto Raptors59.1% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Cleveland Cavaliers40.7% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Golden State Warriors60.0% winProjected 112–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL29minutes

EXPECTED30.58pregame reference

DEVIATION-5.2%role consistent

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G23.4 PTS · 4 REB · 5.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G22 PTS · 4.8 REB · 8.4 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G20.7 PTS · 4.1 REB · 6.5 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G22.5 PTS · 4.7 REB · 7.2 AST

creation↑

efficiency↑

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 300 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS41.7%2199/5270

2-POINT47.1%1239/2633

3-POINT36.4%960/2637

FREE THROW84.8%878/1036

EFFECTIVE FG%50.8%

TRUE SHOOTING%54.4%

AST / TO2.28

PTS PER 3624.11rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

150 HOME · 150 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	150	31.49	20.93	5.95	7.33	3.35	1.38	0.29
Away	150	30.58	20.65	5.47	7.31	3.05	1.43	0.31
Home − Away	—	+0.9	+0.3	+0.5	+0.0	+0.3	-0.1	-0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

300 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	5	7	9	7.32	medium
minutes	26	31.4	36.2	31.03	low
points	14	20	27	20.79	medium
rebounds	3	6	8	5.71	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

300 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES7625.3% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES124.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS5919.7%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-12	@ NYK	29	30.58	-5.2%	19	7/19	2/3	5/16	0/0	2	5	7	6	2	1	5	3	+2.0	50%
2026-04-10	vs DET	33	29.27	+12.8%	27	7/20	1/4	6/16	7/7	3	2	5	8	2	1	4	3	-14.0	59%
2026-04-07	@ BOS	37	29.1	+27.1%	36	12/24	6/9	6/15	6/6	1	4	5	6	1	0	4	4	-1.0	68%
2026-04-05	@ MIN	31	29.35	+5.6%	35	13/22	6/8	7/14	2/2	0	3	3	8	1	0	4	2	+15.0	77%
2026-04-02	vs PHX	25	29.32	-14.7%	15	6/13	4/7	2/6	1/1	0	2	2	11	1	0	0	3	+13.0	56%
2026-03-31	@ BKN	28	29.26	-4.3%	14	4/12	1/2	3/10	3/4	0	7	7	9	0	0	3	3	+24.0	51%
2026-03-29	vs BOS	26	28.77	-9.6%	19	7/19	4/7	3/12	2/2	2	2	4	3	1	0	4	4	-19.0	48%
2026-03-28	vs PHI	37	28.14	+31.5%	20	7/26	2/8	5/18	1/1	1	2	3	8	1	0	2	4	-7.0	38%
2026-03-26	vs NYK	36	25.91	+38.9%	22	7/14	3/5	4/9	4/4	0	5	5	6	0	0	1	2	+3.0	70%
2026-03-24	vs SAC	23	27.18	-15.4%	20	7/16	1/3	6/13	0/0	1	5	6	8	2	0	0	2	+32.0	63%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS47.8%33/69 games

10+ REBOUNDS2.9%2/69 games

5+ ASSISTS82.6%57/69 games

2+ THREES87.0%60/69 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CHA	69	28.0	20.0	4.8	7.0	40.4%	36.3%	90.2%
2024–25	CHA	47	32.0	25.2	4.9	7.4	40.5%	33.9%	84.3%
2023–24	CHA	22	32.4	23.9	5.1	8.0	43.3%	35.5%	86.5%
2022–23	CHA	36	35.3	23.3	6.4	8.4	41.0%	37.6%	83.6%
2021–22	CHA	75	32.3	20.1	6.7	7.6	42.9%	38.9%	87.2%
2020–21	CHA	51	28.8	15.8	5.9	6.1	43.6%	35.3%	75.8%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	CHA	71	52.9	#75 / 409	21.6M	Core
2024–25	CHA	47	50.5	#118 / 422	16.5M	Core
2023–24	CHA	22	54.2	#74 / 409	16.2M	Core
2022–23	CHA	36	51.4	#82 / 408	17.3M	Core
2021–22	CHA	77	57.4	#36 / 423	25.7M	High Value
2020–21	CHA	52	52.1	#87 / 410	18.7M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#75 OF 409

AF-PLAYER52.9descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#75of 409 ranked

PH$21.6MCore

SAMPLE71observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+11.7 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+9.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGESTABLE+3.0 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY91-1.5 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

EXPECTED MIN24.2

SCORING SHARE17.2%

CREATION SHARE28.2%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.5%

-0.32 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 46 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.