Final audited reference season.
Minnesota TimberwolvesWEST · NORTHWEST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
playoff direct
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
50.5% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 56.3
Minnesota Timberwolves finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 56.3, ranked #14 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring70.2
Defense68.3
Possession45.5
Creation32.1
Discipline22.3
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 541.3
GAME 1054.7
GAME 2057.9
GAME 4166.3
GAME 6061.5
FINAL56.3
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2037.7#24/30
2020–2137.3#25/30
2021–2253.3#15/30
2022–2345.7#22/30
2023–2465.8#4/30
2024–2562.1#7/30
2025–2656.3#14/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
LaMelo Ball1 governed next-game sample91dependency-1.5 pp if OUTAyo Dosunmu1 governed next-game sample80dependency-0.5 pp if OUTBones Hyland1 governed next-game sample72dependency-0.7 pp if OUTAnthony Edwards1 governed next-game sample71dependency-0.3 pp if OUTRudy Gobert1 governed next-game sample62dependency-0.3 pp if OUTPROFILE FIT · rebounding
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Mitchell RobinsonBOS · rebounding93Donovan ClinganPOR · rebounding93Jalen DurenDET · rebounding93Kel'el WareMIL · rebounding93Robert Williams IIIPOR · rebounding92PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERJulius Randle
EXPECTED MIN31.8
SCORING SHARE18.3%
CREATION SHARE19.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR84.9%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERJaden McDaniels
EXPECTED MIN29.1
SCORING SHARE12.7%
CREATION SHARE10.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.4%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.96 residual pts
PLAYERRudy Gobert
EXPECTED MIN29.0
SCORING SHARE9.0%
CREATION SHARE6.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.3%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.09 residual pts
PLAYERDonte DiVincenzo
EXPECTED MIN28.2
SCORING SHARE10.5%
CREATION SHARE14.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.1%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERAnthony Edwards
EXPECTED MIN26.2
SCORING SHARE24.3%
CREATION SHARE14.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR69.5%
WITH/WITHOUT-2.91 residual pts
PLAYERNaz Reid
EXPECTED MIN24.4
SCORING SHARE11.1%
CREATION SHARE8.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR84.0%
WITH/WITHOUT+4.57 residual pts
PLAYERAyo Dosunmu
EXPECTED MIN23.4
SCORING SHARE12.8%
CREATION SHARE13.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.2%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERBones Hyland
EXPECTED MIN13.5
SCORING SHARE6.6%
CREATION SHARE9.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR76.7%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.