CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Ayo Dosunmu

Minnesota Timberwolves current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Minnesota Timberwolves · current teamGUSAIllinois

AF-PLAYER52.82025–26

NBA RANK#77of 409

PH$21.6MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN28.6governed role

NEXT GAME@ Miami Heat2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.5 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES343

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS11.1

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS3.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

65 games

MIN27.2

PTS14.5

REB3.1

AST3.5

STL0.7

BLK0.3

3PM1.8

FG%51.6%

3P%44.3%

FT%87.1%

+/--2.2

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Miami Heat43.6% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Orlando Magic47.5% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-25 · HOMEvs Toronto Raptors59.1% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Cleveland Cavaliers40.7% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Golden State Warriors60.0% winProjected 112–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED24.72pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G5.4 PTS · 0.8 REB · 1.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G12.2 PTS · 2.6 REB · 2.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G6.5 PTS · 1.4 REB · 1.3 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G11.5 PTS · 2.6 REB · 2.9 AST

creation↓

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding→

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 343 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS50.5%1494/2957

2-POINT58.1%1069/1839

3-POINT38.0%425/1118

FREE THROW80.0%380/475

EFFECTIVE FG%57.7%

TRUE SHOOTING%59.9%

AST / TO2.44

PTS PER 3614.3rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

173 HOME · 170 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	173	27.9	10.99	2.99	3.36	1.22	0.91	0.34
Away	170	27.78	11.12	2.91	3.24	1.26	0.72	0.41
Home − Away	—	+0.1	-0.1	+0.1	+0.1	-0.0	+0.2	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

343 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	3	5	3.3	high
minutes	21	28	35	27.84	low
points	6	10	16	11.06	high
rebounds	1	3	4	2.95	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

343 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES72.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games

10+ ASSISTS72.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	@ HOU	26	21.84	+19%	15	6/10	5/8	1/2	2/2	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	1	-1.0	69%
2026-04-05	vs CHA	34	22.11	+53.8%	12	4/9	4/7	0/2	4/4	1	3	4	2	0	0	1	3	-23.0	56%
2026-04-03	@ PHI	36	21.88	+64.5%	19	6/16	2/10	4/6	3/3	1	4	5	3	1	1	1	3	0.0	55%
2026-04-02	@ DET	33	19.27	+71.2%	19	7/15	5/8	2/7	3/3	0	5	5	4	2	1	4	1	-11.0	58%
2026-03-22	@ BOS	32	29.57	+8.2%	17	7/13	5/9	2/4	1/1	1	7	8	6	1	2	2	3	+8.0	63%
2026-03-20	vs POR	38	26.87	+41.4%	17	6/15	3/9	3/6	2/2	2	8	10	8	0	0	2	4	+11.0	54%
2026-03-17	vs PHX	34	25.74	+32.1%	19	9/17	8/13	1/4	0/0	1	4	5	2	0	0	2	3	+11.0	56%
2026-03-15	@ OKC	33	24.99	+32%	18	7/9	3/4	4/5	0/0	0	4	4	0	0	0	2	1	-3.0	100%
2026-03-13	@ GSW	31	23.51	+31.8%	12	5/9	3/5	2/4	0/0	2	6	8	7	0	0	2	2	+5.0	67%
2026-03-10	@ LAL	20	24.15	-17.2%	13	6/8	6/6	0/2	1/2	0	2	2	1	0	0	2	5	-12.0	73%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS18.5%12/65 games

10+ REBOUNDS1.5%1/65 games

5+ ASSISTS29.2%19/65 games

2+ THREES55.4%36/65 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CHI MIN	65	27.2	14.5	3.1	3.5	51.6%	44.3%	87.1%
2024–25	CHI	46	30.3	12.3	3.5	4.5	49.2%	32.8%	78.5%
2023–24	CHI	76	29.2	12.2	2.8	3.2	50.1%	40.3%	81.0%
2022–23	CHI	80	26.2	8.6	2.7	2.6	49.3%	31.2%	80.5%
2021–22	CHI	76	27.3	8.8	2.8	3.3	52.2%	37.7%	67.5%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	MIN	75	52.8	#77 / 409	21.6M	Core
2024–25	CHI	46	45.9	#179 / 422	13M	Rotation
2023–24	CHI	78	43.2	#199 / 409	14.3M	Rotation
2022–23	CHI	82	32.7	#346 / 408	7.8M	Depth
2021–22	CHI	82	38.5	#285 / 423	10.8M	Rotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#77 OF 409

AF-PLAYER52.8descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#77of 409 ranked

PH$21.6MCore

SAMPLE75observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+19.6 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+23.6 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGESTABLE+1.2 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY80-0.5 pp next-game What If impact

UNDERUSED EMERGING BREAKOUT WATCH

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CHI

Chicago Bulls

EXPECTED MIN20.2

SCORING SHARE13.0%

CREATION SHARE11.8%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR73.1%

+3.91 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 23 normal-load / 4 nonparticipation games.

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

EXPECTED MIN23.4

SCORING SHARE12.7%

CREATION SHARE13.1%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.2%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.