Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Rudy Gobert
Minnesota Timberwolves current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER56.72025–26
NBA RANK#39of 409
PH$25.8MHigh Value · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN27.4governed role
NEXT GAME@ Miami Heat2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN31.4
PTS10.8
REB11.6
AST1.7
STL0.8
BLK1.6
3PM0.0
FG%68.2%
3P%0.0%
FT%51.4%
+/-+2.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Minnesota Timberwolves
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED19.77pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G2.4 PTS · 2 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G10.2 PTS · 11.8 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G5.1 PTS · 5.9 REB · 0.5 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G10.7 PTS · 12.3 REB · 1.2 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS67.8%2543/3751
2-POINT68.1%2543/3732
3-POINT0.0%0/19
FREE THROW63.3%1579/2493
EFFECTIVE FG%67.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%68.7%
AST / TO0.88
PTS PER 3615.1rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 250 | 32.13 | 13.91 | 12.68 | 1.38 | 0 | 0.72 | 1.87 |
| Away | 241 | 32.62 | 13.22 | 12.61 | 1.45 | 0 | 0.71 | 1.91 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.5 | +0.7 | +0.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | +0.0 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.41 | high |
| minutes | 28.9 | 33 | 36.6 | 32.37 | low |
| points | 9 | 13 | 18 | 13.57 | medium |
| rebounds | 9 | 13 | 16 | 12.64 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES30562.1% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | vs CHA | 30 | 28.75 | +4.3% | 12 | 6/9 | 6/9 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -13.0 | 61% |
| 2026-04-03 | @ PHI | 29 | 30.13 | -3.7% | 5 | 2/8 | 2/7 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.0 | 30% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ DET | 27 | 31.97 | -15.6% | 6 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -10.0 | 63% |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 32 | 30.95 | +3.4% | 14 | 6/9 | 6/9 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -11.0 | 65% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs HOU | 28 | 32.81 | -14.7% | 14 | 7/13 | 7/13 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0.0 | 54% |
| 2026-03-22 | @ BOS | 26 | 33.03 | -21.3% | 9 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | -10.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs POR | 38 | 32.25 | +17.8% | 18 | 7/14 | 7/14 | 0/0 | 4/6 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 | 54% |
| 2026-03-17 | vs PHX | 37 | 30.75 | +20.3% | 9 | 4/7 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 | 54% |
| 2026-03-15 | @ OKC | 29 | 30.45 | -4.8% | 2 | 1/4 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -23.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-13 | @ GSW | 36 | 30.24 | +19.1% | 18 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 8/10 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +8.0 | 96% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS4.2%3/72 games
10+ REBOUNDS68.1%49/72 games
5+ ASSISTS2.8%2/72 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/72 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | MIN | 72 | 31.4 | 10.8 | 11.6 | 1.7 | 68.2% | 0.0% | 51.4% |
| 2024–25 | MIN | 69 | 33.3 | 12.1 | 10.9 | 1.8 | 66.6% | — | 67.7% |
| 2023–24 | MIN | 76 | 34.0 | 14.0 | 12.9 | 1.3 | 66.2% | 0.0% | 63.8% |
| 2022–23 | MIN | 70 | 30.7 | 13.4 | 11.6 | 1.2 | 65.9% | 0.0% | 64.4% |
| 2021–22 | UTA | 65 | 32.0 | 15.5 | 14.7 | 1.1 | 71.2% | 0.0% | 68.7% |
| 2020–21 | UTA | 71 | 30.8 | 14.3 | 13.5 | 1.3 | 67.5% | 0.0% | 62.3% |
| 2019–20 | UTA | 68 | 34.3 | 15.1 | 13.5 | 1.5 | 69.3% | — | 63.0% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | MIN | 84 | 56.7 | #39 / 409 | 25.8M | High Value |
| 2024–25 | MIN | 84 | 57.8 | #38 / 422 | 26.1M | High Value |
| 2023–24 | MIN | 91 | 59.1 | #34 / 409 | 27M | High Value |
| 2022–23 | MIN | 76 | 59.6 | #25 / 408 | 25.3M | High Value |
| 2021–22 | UTA | 72 | 61.4 | #16 / 423 | 26.6M | High Value |
| 2020–21 | UTA | 82 | 61.6 | #20 / 410 | 27.8M | High Value |
| 2019–20 | UTA | 75 | 60.2 | #20 / 385 | 27.7M | High Value |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER56.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#39of 409 ranked
PH$25.8MHigh Value
SAMPLE84observed games
Ball security46
Box defence56
Creation16
Efficiency88
Rebounding94
Scoring18
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+32.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-0.5 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-4.0 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY62-0.3 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
EXPECTED MIN29.0
SCORING SHARE9.0%
CREATION SHARE6.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.3%
+1.09 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 58 normal-load / 5 nonparticipation games.