Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jaylen Clark
Minnesota Timberwolves current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER28.22025–26
NBA RANK#389of 409
PH$5.8MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN10.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ Miami Heat2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN13.3
PTS3.8
REB1.8
AST0.6
STL0.7
BLK0.1
3PM0.4
FG%42.2%
3P%30.8%
FT%64.6%
+/-+0.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Minnesota Timberwolves
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL30minutes
EXPECTED10.39pregame reference
DEVIATION+188.9%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G4.4 PTS · 1 REB · 1.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2.4 PTS · 2.2 REB · 0.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G3.1 PTS · 0.9 REB · 0.9 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G2.1 PTS · 2.1 REB · 0.7 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes↑
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.2%140/317
2-POINT51.4%91/177
3-POINT35.0%49/140
FREE THROW69.6%71/102
EFFECTIVE FG%51.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.3%
AST / TO2.2
PTS PER 3610.76rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 51 | 13.98 | 4.9 | 1.71 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 0.12 |
| Away | 50 | 12.5 | 3 | 1.54 | 0.74 | 0.32 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.5 | +1.9 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +0.3 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.65 | high |
| minutes | 7 | 13 | 18 | 13.25 | high |
| points | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3.96 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.62 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs NOP | 30 | 10.39 | +188.9% | 8 | 3/9 | 1/2 | 2/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -15.0 | 44% |
| 2026-04-10 | @ HOU | 12 | 10.73 | +11.8% | 2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4.0 | 100% |
| 2026-04-08 | @ ORL | 33 | 5.44 | +507.1% | 3 | 1/6 | 0/2 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.0 | 25% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CHA | 11 | 5.1 | +115.9% | 9 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 | 113% |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 18 | 2.8 | +543.8% | 9 | 2/6 | 2/4 | 0/2 | 5/6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -16.0 | 52% |
| 2026-03-22 | @ BOS | 12 | 1.36 | +782% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +6.0 | — |
| 2026-03-15 | @ OKC | 2 | 2.36 | -15.1% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-10 | @ LAL | 4 | 2.16 | +84.8% | 5 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 | 125% |
| 2026-03-07 | vs ORL | 5 | 1.49 | +235.3% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-05 | vs TOR | 3 | 2.21 | +36% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/64 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/64 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/64 games
2+ THREES9.4%6/64 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | MIN | 70 | 28.2 | #389 / 409 | 5.8M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | MIN | 42 | 48.0 | #148 / 422 | 11.6M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER28.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#389of 409 ranked
PH$5.8MDepth
SAMPLE70observed games
Ball security72
Box defence42
Creation22
Efficiency25
Rebounding29
Scoring12
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-11.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-60.2 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE-3.0 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY36-0.4 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
EXPECTED MIN10.3
SCORING SHARE3.2%
CREATION SHARE2.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR71.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.