CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Josh Green

Minnesota Timberwolves current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Minnesota Timberwolves · current teamGAustraliaArizona

AF-PLAYER37.82025–26

NBA RANK#291of 409

PH$7.6MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN12.5governed role

NEXT GAME@ Miami Heat2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES346

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS6.3

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

55 games

MIN15.4

PTS4.4

REB1.8

AST0.8

STL0.6

BLK0.1

3PM1.0

FG%46.6%

3P%42.4%

FT%89.3%

+/-+3.4

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Miami Heat43.6% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Orlando Magic47.5% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-25 · HOMEvs Toronto Raptors59.1% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Cleveland Cavaliers40.7% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Golden State Warriors60.0% winProjected 112–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL10minutes

EXPECTED9.29pregame reference

DEVIATION+7.6%role consistent

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G1.2 PTS · 0.8 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G3.4 PTS · 1.2 REB · 0.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G1.1 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.3 PTS · 1.3 REB · 0.3 AST

creation↓

efficiency↓

minutes↑

rebounding↓

scoring↓

COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 346 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS48.1%817/1700

2-POINT57.1%492/861

3-POINT38.7%325/839

FREE THROW70.5%225/319

EFFECTIVE FG%57.6%

TRUE SHOOTING%59.3%

AST / TO1.65

PTS PER 3610.82rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

168 HOME · 178 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	168	21.59	6.45	2.62	1.44	0.99	0.74	0.15
Away	178	20.45	6.19	2.44	1.39	0.89	0.74	0.14
Home − Away	—	+1.1	+0.3	+0.2	+0.1	+0.1	0.0	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

346 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	2	1.42	high
minutes	13	21	29	21	medium
points	2	5	11	6.31	high
rebounds	1	2	4	2.53	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

346 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES20.6% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS10.3%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-12	@ NYK	10	9.29	+7.6%	3	1/2	0/0	1/2	0/0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	+9.0	75%
2026-04-10	vs DET	11	10.45	+5.3%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	-2.0	—
2026-04-07	@ BOS	7	11.08	-36.8%	3	1/2	0/0	1/2	0/0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	-9.0	75%
2026-04-05	@ MIN	3	11.49	-73.9%	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-4.0	0%
2026-04-02	vs PHX	7	12.89	-45.7%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	+2.0	—
2026-03-31	@ BKN	14	13.91	+0.6%	3	1/2	0/0	1/2	0/0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	-3.0	75%
2026-03-29	vs BOS	18	13.77	+30.7%	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0.0	0%
2026-03-28	vs PHI	10	14.43	-30.7%	2	1/3	1/1	0/2	0/0	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	+5.0	33%
2026-03-26	vs NYK	2	17.15	-88.3%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	+1.0	—
2026-03-24	vs SAC	17	16.32	+4.2%	6	2/4	0/0	2/4	0/0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	+13.0	75%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/55 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/55 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/55 games

2+ THREES27.3%15/55 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CHA	55	15.4	4.4	1.8	0.8	46.6%	42.4%	89.3%
2024–25	CHA	68	27.8	7.4	2.5	1.6	42.8%	39.1%	68.1%
2023–24	DAL	57	26.4	8.2	3.3	2.3	47.9%	38.5%	68.4%
2022–23	DAL	60	25.6	9.1	3.0	1.7	53.7%	40.2%	72.3%
2021–22	DAL	67	15.5	4.8	2.4	1.2	50.8%	35.9%	68.9%
2020–21	DAL	39	11.4	2.6	2.0	0.7	45.2%	16.0%	56.5%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	CHA	57	37.8	#291 / 409	7.6M	Depth
2024–25	CHA	68	28.1	#403 / 422	6.8M	Depth
2023–24	DAL	79	37.0	#304 / 409	8.9M	Depth
2022–23	DAL	60	41.7	#218 / 408	11.2M	Rotation
2021–22	DAL	96	35.1	#335 / 423	7.4M	Depth
2020–21	DAL	73	25.7	#393 / 410	5.3M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#291 OF 409

AF-PLAYER37.8descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#291of 409 ranked

PH$7.6MDepth

SAMPLE57observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+6.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+24.4 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGESTABLE-2.7 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY37-0.3 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

EXPECTED MIN15.1

SCORING SHARE3.8%

CREATION SHARE3.0%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR86.9%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.