Final audited reference season.
Dallas MavericksWEST · SOUTHWEST
Dallas Mavericks
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
out
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
50.5% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 35.8
Dallas Mavericks finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 35.8, ranked #23 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring29.9
Defense39.6
Possession27.4
Creation19.1
Discipline89.3
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 539.9
GAME 1035.8
GAME 2032.3
GAME 4137.9
GAME 6039.4
FINAL35.8
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2064.5#4/30
2020–2153.3#13/30
2021–2258.9#9/30
2022–2348.2#20/30
2023–2454.4#18/30
2024–2545.1#21/30
2025–2635.8#23/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
Naji Marshall1 governed next-game sample80dependency-1.9 pp if OUTSanti Aldama1 governed next-game sample76dependency-1.7 pp if OUTBrandon Williams1 governed next-game sample71dependency-1.2 pp if OUTDwight Powell1 governed next-game sample46dependency-0.3 pp if OUTMarcus Sasser1 governed next-game sample37dependency+0.4 pp if OUTPROFILE FIT · rebounding
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Rudy GobertMIN · rebounding94Mitchell RobinsonBOS · rebounding93Donovan ClinganPOR · rebounding93Jalen DurenDET · rebounding93Kel'el WareMIL · rebounding93PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERC. Flagg
EXPECTED MIN28.1
SCORING SHARE17.6%
CREATION SHARE16.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR76.8%
WITH/WITHOUT-1.72 residual pts
PLAYERNaji Marshall
EXPECTED MIN27.7
SCORING SHARE12.9%
CREATION SHARE12.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.0%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERMax Christie
EXPECTED MIN26.3
SCORING SHARE11.3%
CREATION SHARE8.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.2%
WITH/WITHOUT-0.84 residual pts
PLAYERP.J. Washington
EXPECTED MIN22.2
SCORING SHARE12.6%
CREATION SHARE7.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR67.0%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERKlay Thompson
EXPECTED MIN19.7
SCORING SHARE10.2%
CREATION SHARE5.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.2%
WITH/WITHOUT-0.94 residual pts
PLAYERBrandon Williams
EXPECTED MIN17.8
SCORING SHARE10.6%
CREATION SHARE14.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.8%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERAnthony Davis
EXPECTED MIN17.1
SCORING SHARE18.8%
CREATION SHARE10.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR54.0%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERDaniel Gafford
EXPECTED MIN16.1
SCORING SHARE7.7%
CREATION SHARE4.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.6%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.