CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Anthony Davis

Washington Wizards current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Washington Wizards · current teamF-CUSAKentucky

AF-PLAYER54.92025–26

NBA RANK#55of 409

PH$16.4MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN35.4governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Milwaukee Bucks2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-2.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES339

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS24.4

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS11.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS3.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

20 games

MIN31.3

PTS20.4

REB11.1

AST2.8

STL1.1

BLK1.6

3PM0.5

FG%50.6%

3P%27.0%

FT%72.8%

+/--2.5

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Washington Wizards

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Milwaukee Bucks55.0% winProjected 114–115

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Toronto Raptors46.3% winProjected 115–114

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Chicago Bulls41.1% winProjected 113–118

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Charlotte Hornets28.8% winProjected 111–118

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Cleveland Cavaliers29.9% winProjected 112–118

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED1.74pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G26 PTS · 11.33 REB · 3.33 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G26 PTS · 11.33 REB · 3.33 AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 339 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS52.9%3099/5860

2-POINT56.4%2896/5136

3-POINT28.0%203/724

FREE THROW79.0%1879/2379

EFFECTIVE FG%54.6%

TRUE SHOOTING%59.9%

AST / TO1.47

PTS PER 3625.76rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

176 HOME · 163 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	176	34.48	24.61	11.32	3.43	0.59	1.31	2.32
Away	163	33.75	24.22	10.56	2.92	0.61	1.14	1.94
Home − Away	—	+0.7	+0.4	+0.8	+0.5	-0.0	+0.2	+0.4

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

339 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	2	3	5	3.18	high
minutes	30.6	35.5	38	34.13	low
points	17	25	32	24.42	medium
rebounds	8	11	14.4	10.96	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

339 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES21463.1% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES30.9% of games

10+ ASSISTS30.9%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-01-08	@ UTA	35	24.01	+45.8%	21	10/20	10/18	0/2	1/1	2	9	11	4	1	1	2	0	-6.0	51%
2026-01-06	@ SAC	36	19.6	+83.7%	19	7/23	7/22	0/1	5/7	3	13	16	2	0	2	3	1	-6.0	36%
2026-01-03	vs HOU	39	18.92	+106.2%	26	9/15	9/13	0/2	8/9	1	11	12	3	0	5	5	2	-4.0	69%
2026-01-01	vs PHI	37	18.41	+101%	13	6/13	6/12	0/1	1/2	3	5	8	2	1	0	3	3	-14.0	47%
2025-12-25	@ GSW	11	27.58	-60.1%	3	1/4	1/4	0/0	1/4	0	3	3	0	1	2	0	0	+6.0	26%
2025-12-23	vs DEN	36	26.07	+38.1%	31	12/19	11/17	1/2	6/6	4	5	9	4	3	0	1	3	+3.0	72%
2025-12-22	@ NOP	35	25.24	+38.6%	35	16/28	15/25	1/3	2/3	6	11	17	2	1	1	4	4	-11.0	60%
2025-12-20	@ PHI	34	22.97	+48%	24	11/20	11/18	0/2	2/2	5	10	15	2	0	1	1	3	-2.0	57%
2025-12-18	vs DET	37	21.12	+75.2%	15	7/18	6/16	1/2	0/0	3	11	14	2	0	3	2	2	+6.0	42%
2025-12-12	vs BKN	33	20.1	+64.2%	24	10/21	10/20	0/1	4/5	5	9	14	3	3	2	3	3	+6.0	52%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS60.0%12/20 games

10+ REBOUNDS65.0%13/20 games

5+ ASSISTS10.0%2/20 games

2+ THREES15.0%3/20 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	DAL	20	31.3	20.4	11.1	2.8	50.6%	27.0%	72.8%
2024–25	LAL DAL	50	33.6	24.7	11.6	3.6	51.8%	28.6%	77.5%
2023–24	LAL	76	35.5	24.7	12.6	3.5	55.6%	27.1%	81.6%
2022–23	LAL	56	34.0	25.9	12.6	2.6	56.3%	25.7%	78.4%
2021–22	LAL	39	35.1	23.3	9.9	3.0	53.1%	18.8%	71.3%
2020–21	LAL	36	32.3	21.8	7.9	3.1	49.1%	26.0%	73.7%
2019–20	LAL	62	34.4	26.1	9.3	3.2	50.3%	33.0%	84.6%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	DAL	20	54.9	#55 / 409	16.4M	Core
2024–25	DAL	52	66.0	#7 / 422	24.8M	Core
2023–24	LAL	83	70.2	#4 / 409	29.2M	High Value
2022–23	LAL	73	67.5	#4 / 408	28.1M	High Value
2021–22	LAL	39	61.3	#18 / 423	22.8M	Core
2020–21	LAL	43	56.6	#46 / 410	20.6M	Core
2019–20	LAL	83	68.0	#2 / 385	29.7M	High Value

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#55 OF 409

AF-PLAYER54.9descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#55of 409 ranked

PH$16.4MCore

SAMPLE20observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+7.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-11.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+4.1 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY88-2.2 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

DAL

Dallas Mavericks

EXPECTED MIN17.1

SCORING SHARE18.8%

CREATION SHARE10.0%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR54.0%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.