Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Zaccharie Risacher
Dallas Mavericks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER37.72025–26
NBA RANK#292of 409
PH$9.2MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN14.2governed role
NEXT GAME@ Houston Rockets2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN22.6
PTS9.7
REB3.9
AST1.1
STL0.9
BLK0.6
3PM1.4
FG%45.6%
3P%37.1%
FT%64.4%
+/--0.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Dallas Mavericks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL24minutes
EXPECTED12.17pregame reference
DEVIATION+97.2%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G3.6 PTS · 3 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G9.8 PTS · 2.2 REB · 0.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G5.2 PTS · 2.7 REB · 0.5 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G9.7 PTS · 3.8 REB · 0.8 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS45.6%595/1304
2-POINT53.5%378/706
3-POINT36.3%217/598
FREE THROW68.3%162/237
EFFECTIVE FG%53.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.7%
AST / TO1.14
PTS PER 3617.08rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 70 | 23.7 | 10.76 | 3.7 | 1.01 | 1.59 | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| Away | 70 | 23.54 | 11.66 | 3.76 | 1.39 | 1.51 | 0.96 | 0.44 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.2 | -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.4 | +0.1 | -0.3 | +0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | high |
| minutes | 19 | 23 | 28 | 23.62 | low |
| points | 5 | 11 | 16 | 11.21 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3.73 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ MIA | 24 | 12.17 | +97.2% | 11 | 5/8 | 4/5 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.0 | 69% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CLE | 19 | 12.23 | +55.4% | 4 | 1/7 | 1/4 | 0/3 | 2/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -13.0 | 25% |
| 2026-04-06 | vs NYK | 7 | 14.71 | -52.4% | 3 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.0 | 31% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ ORL | 13 | 16.55 | -21.4% | 4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +14.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-30 | vs BOS | 16 | 17.94 | -10.8% | 9 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +12.0 | 113% |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SAC | 19 | 17.91 | +6.1% | 13 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 2/4 | 3/4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.0 | 74% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ BOS | 14 | 18.45 | -24.1% | 6 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -17.0 | 68% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ DET | 9 | 19.32 | -53.4% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +9.0 | 33% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs MEM | 26 | 18.49 | +40.7% | 11 | 4/8 | 3/5 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +18.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs GSW | 23 | 19.54 | +17.7% | 17 | 5/6 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 4/5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -21.0 | 104% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS3.0%2/66 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/66 games
5+ ASSISTS1.5%1/66 games
2+ THREES36.4%24/66 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | ATL | 69 | 37.7 | #292 / 409 | 9.2M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | ATL | 76 | 36.7 | #318 / 422 | 8.9M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER37.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#292of 409 ranked
PH$9.2MDepth
SAMPLE69observed games
Ball security71
Box defence45
Creation15
Efficiency39
Rebounding35
Scoring40
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+1.5 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+4.0 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-7.7 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY34-0.4 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
ATL
Atlanta Hawks
EXPECTED MIN17.9
SCORING SHARE8.5%
CREATION SHARE3.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.2%
-4.59 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 27 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.