CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Kyrie Irving

Dallas Mavericks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Dallas Mavericks · current teamGAustraliaDuke

AF-PLAYER56.02024–25

NBA RANK#49of 422

PH$21.7MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN36.4governed role

NEXT GAME@ Houston Rockets2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-2.3 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES267

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS26.4

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS4.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS5.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2024–25

48 games

MIN36.1

PTS25.0

REB4.7

AST4.7

STL1.3

BLK0.4

3PM3.0

FG%47.4%

3P%40.7%

FT%91.9%

+/-+3.3

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Dallas Mavericks

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Houston Rockets28.1% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Indiana Pacers35.1% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs San Antonio Spurs36.1% winProjected 115–112

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Miami Heat33.2% winProjected 113–117

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Oklahoma City Thunder33.8% winProjected 115–112

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED0.44pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G28.8 PTS · 6.2 REB · 4.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G23.3 PTS · 5.2 REB · 4.1 AST

creation↓

efficiency↓

minutes↑

rebounding↑

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 267 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS48.9%2603/5323

2-POINT54.4%1802/3315

3-POINT39.9%801/2008

FREE THROW91.5%1039/1135

EFFECTIVE FG%56.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%60.5%

AST / TO2.49

PTS PER 3626.51rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

130 HOME · 137 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	130	35.42	25.79	5.21	5.46	2.88	1.32	0.61
Away	137	36.24	26.96	4.52	5.5	3.11	1.26	0.56
Home − Away	—	-0.8	-1.2	+0.7	-0.0	-0.2	+0.1	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

267 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	3.2	5	7	5.48	medium
minutes	32.9	36.7	39.7	35.84	low
points	18	26	33	26.39	medium
rebounds	3	5	7	4.85	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

267 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES238.6% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.4% of games

10+ ASSISTS176.4%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2024–25

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2025-03-03	vs SAC	9	31.83	-71.7%	7	2/4	2/4	0/0	3/3	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	-6.0	66%
2025-03-01	vs MIL	38	30.48	+24.7%	31	9/23	7/14	2/9	11/11	4	1	5	3	1	0	2	1	-11.0	56%
2025-02-27	vs CHA	38	31.19	+21.8%	25	11/24	9/15	2/9	1/1	1	8	9	5	2	2	2	3	+21.0	51%
2025-02-25	@ LAL	40	30.81	+29.8%	35	12/27	7/16	5/11	6/6	1	6	7	4	3	2	4	1	-10.0	59%
2025-02-21	vs NOP	37	30.29	+22.1%	35	11/22	6/10	5/12	8/8	0	2	2	4	0	1	1	3	+5.0	69%
2025-02-12	vs GSW	40	30.51	+31.1%	42	15/25	8/15	7/10	5/5	1	6	7	0	1	0	3	2	+8.0	77%
2025-02-10	vs SAC	44	28.16	+56.2%	30	11/25	9/18	2/7	6/7	2	7	9	7	3	0	1	3	-7.0	53%
2025-02-08	vs HOU	42	29.44	+42.7%	13	4/15	4/11	0/4	5/6	2	0	2	6	2	2	1	1	+6.0	37%
2025-02-06	@ BOS	40	27.25	+46.8%	19	7/17	4/11	3/6	2/2	2	1	3	4	4	0	3	2	0.0	53%
2025-02-04	@ PHI	42	28.02	+49.9%	34	11/21	9/13	2/8	10/11	3	6	9	4	1	1	3	2	-8.0	66%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS72.9%35/48 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/48 games

5+ ASSISTS56.3%27/48 games

2+ THREES79.2%38/48 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2024–25	DAL	48	36.1	25.0	4.7	4.7	47.4%	40.7%	91.9%
2023–24	DAL	58	35.0	25.6	5.0	5.2	49.7%	41.1%	90.5%
2022–23	BKN DAL	60	37.3	27.1	5.1	5.5	49.4%	37.9%	90.5%
2021–22	BKN	29	37.6	27.4	4.3	5.8	46.9%	41.8%	91.5%
2020–21	BKN	52	35.0	26.8	4.7	6.1	50.4%	39.3%	93.4%
2019–20	BKN	20	32.9	27.4	5.2	6.4	47.8%	39.4%	92.2%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2024–25	DAL	48	56.0	#49 / 422	21.7M	Core
2023–24	DAL	80	56.8	#46 / 409	25.6M	High Value
2022–23	DAL	60	59.6	#26 / 408	24.7M	Core
2021–22	BKN	34	57.4	#37 / 423	21.1M	Core
2020–21	BKN	61	62.6	#18 / 410	26.7M	High Value
2019–20	BKN	20	59.6	#22 / 385	18.6M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#49 OF 422

AF-PLAYER56.0descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#49of 422 ranked

PH$21.7MCore

SAMPLE48observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

DAL

Dallas Mavericks

EXPECTED MIN25.8

SCORING SHARE21.6%

CREATION SHARE18.4%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR68.8%

+12.39 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 25 normal-load / 7 nonparticipation games.