CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Dallas Mavericks · current teamFUSAXavier

AF-PLAYER49.22025–26

NBA RANK#122of 409

PH$18.1MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN29.3governed role

NEXT GAME@ Houston Rockets2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-1.9 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES359

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS10.0

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS4.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

65 games

MIN29.7

PTS15.2

REB4.7

AST3.1

STL1.1

BLK0.1

3PM0.9

FG%51.5%

3P%29.8%

FT%76.3%

+/--2.7

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Dallas Mavericks

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Houston Rockets28.1% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Indiana Pacers35.1% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs San Antonio Spurs36.1% winProjected 115–112

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Miami Heat33.2% winProjected 113–117

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Oklahoma City Thunder33.8% winProjected 115–112

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED29.68pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G12.6 PTS · 3.8 REB · 3.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G2.8 PTS · 0.7 REB · 0.5 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G12.6 PTS · 3.4 REB · 3.5 AST

creation→

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 359 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS47.1%1321/2802

2-POINT55.7%1033/1854

3-POINT30.4%288/948

FREE THROW77.9%652/837

EFFECTIVE FG%52.3%

TRUE SHOOTING%56.5%

AST / TO1.94

PTS PER 3615.7rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

179 HOME · 180 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	179	23.02	9.72	3.99	2.59	0.84	0.8	0.17
Away	180	22.75	10.24	3.94	2.23	0.77	0.87	0.15
Home − Away	—	+0.3	-0.5	+0.1	+0.4	+0.1	-0.1	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

359 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	2	4	2.41	high
minutes	14	23	32	22.88	medium
points	4	8	16	9.98	high
rebounds	1.6	4	6	3.97	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

359 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES123.3% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS20.6%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-03	vs ORL	24	29.68	-19.1%	9	3/12	2/9	1/3	2/2	1	3	4	2	1	0	2	-16.0	35%
2026-03-27	@ POR	33	28.15	+17.2%	19	7/14	7/12	0/2	5/7	0	3	3	3	5	1	3	+7.0	56%
2026-03-21	vs LAC	37	26.37	+40.3%	28	11/23	10/17	1/6	5/7	1	1	2	4	2	2	2	-19.0	54%
2026-03-18	vs ATL	28	25.79	+8.6%	4	2/10	2/9	0/1	0/0	0	3	3	4	1	1	1	-7.0	20%
2026-03-13	vs CLE	27	23.02	+17.3%	17	7/12	5/8	2/4	1/4	3	4	7	3	1	2	0	-17.0	62%
2026-03-10	@ ATL	30	24.28	+23.6%	14	5/9	3/4	2/5	2/2	1	1	2	4	1	3	3	-18.0	71%
2026-03-08	@ TOR	22	26.49	-17%	8	3/5	3/5	0/0	2/2	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-4.0	68%
2026-03-06	@ BOS	25	27.34	-8.6%	13	6/12	5/11	1/1	0/0	1	0	1	3	0	1	3	-20.0	54%
2026-03-05	@ ORL	25	28.27	-11.6%	6	2/10	2/8	0/2	2/2	2	2	4	5	2	2	2	-6.0	28%
2026-02-26	vs SAC	42	29.9	+40.5%	36	14/23	13/19	1/4	7/11	1	9	10	6	0	3	2	+3.0	65%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS21.5%14/65 games

10+ REBOUNDS3.1%2/65 games

5+ ASSISTS18.5%12/65 games

2+ THREES21.5%14/65 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	DAL	65	29.7	15.2	4.7	3.1	51.5%	29.8%	76.3%
2024–25	DAL	66	27.7	13.3	4.7	3.0	51.4%	28.2%	81.5%
2023–24	NOP	65	19.1	7.1	3.6	1.9	46.2%	38.9%	79.1%
2022–23	NOP	77	23.3	9.1	3.6	2.5	43.3%	30.3%	78.9%
2021–22	NOP	55	13.4	5.7	2.6	1.1	40.5%	20.0%	79.6%
2020–21	NOP	31	22.4	7.9	4.8	2.8	39.4%	35.4%	70.7%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	DAL	65	49.2	#122 / 409	18.1M	Core
2024–25	DAL	68	47.1	#166 / 422	15.3M	Core
2023–24	NOP	70	41.4	#233 / 409	10.5M	Rotation
2022–23	NOP	78	35.2	#313 / 408	8.3M	Depth
2021–22	NOP	86	36.5	#319 / 423	7.2M	Depth
2020–21	NOP	51	38.4	#292 / 410	7.1M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#122 OF 409

AF-PLAYER49.2descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#122of 409 ranked

PH$18.1MCore

SAMPLE65observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+5.4 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+9.5 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGESTABLE-0.3 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY80-1.9 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

DAL

Dallas Mavericks

EXPECTED MIN27.7

SCORING SHARE12.9%

CREATION SHARE12.0%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR85.0%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.