Final audited reference season.
New Orleans PelicansWEST · SOUTHWEST
New Orleans Pelicans
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
out
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
50.3% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 36.3
New Orleans Pelicans finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 36.3, ranked #22 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring40.2
Defense21.8
Possession53.7
Creation23.5
Discipline52.3
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 531.8
GAME 1027.7
GAME 2028.6
GAME 4131.3
GAME 6036.0
FINAL36.3
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2048.4#18/30
2020–2157.5#10/30
2021–2252.0#17/30
2022–2356.6#10/30
2023–2465.6#5/30
2024–2525.6#28/30
2025–2636.3#22/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
No governed next-game What If dependency sample is available for this roster.
PROFILE FIT · rebounding
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Rudy GobertMIN · rebounding94Mitchell RobinsonBOS · rebounding93Donovan ClinganPOR · rebounding93Jalen DurenDET · rebounding93Kel'el WareMIL · rebounding93PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERTrey Murphy III
EXPECTED MIN29.6
SCORING SHARE18.5%
CREATION SHARE15.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR76.8%
WITH/WITHOUT+4.79 residual pts
PLAYERSaddiq Bey
EXPECTED MIN27.4
SCORING SHARE14.4%
CREATION SHARE10.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR80.1%
WITH/WITHOUT+3.81 residual pts
PLAYERJ. Fears
EXPECTED MIN24.4
SCORING SHARE11.5%
CREATION SHARE12.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.3%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERDerik Queen
EXPECTED MIN23.7
SCORING SHARE9.7%
CREATION SHARE13.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR86.3%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERZion Williamson
EXPECTED MIN22.8
SCORING SHARE18.9%
CREATION SHARE15.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR69.5%
WITH/WITHOUT+3.64 residual pts
PLAYERHerbert Jones
EXPECTED MIN20.1
SCORING SHARE8.0%
CREATION SHARE10.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR63.9%
WITH/WITHOUT+0.18 residual pts
PLAYERDejounte Murray
EXPECTED MIN19.0
SCORING SHARE14.7%
CREATION SHARE23.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR64.1%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERYves Missi
EXPECTED MIN15.6
SCORING SHARE5.3%
CREATION SHARE5.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR73.4%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.