Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
J. Fears
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER38.52025–26
NBA RANK#281of 409
PH$10.4MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN25.7
PTS13.9
REB3.6
AST3.3
STL1.2
BLK0.4
3PM1.2
FG%42.5%
3P%33.6%
FT%79.4%
+/--4.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL41minutes
EXPECTED28.56pregame reference
DEVIATION+43.5%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G23.8 PTS · 4.8 REB · 4.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G13.8 PTS · 1.6 REB · 2.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G18.3 PTS · 3.3 REB · 3.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G13.5 PTS · 2.2 REB · 3.5 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.5%397/933
2-POINT46.5%302/650
3-POINT33.6%95/283
FREE THROW79.4%181/228
EFFECTIVE FG%47.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%51.8%
AST / TO1.52
PTS PER 3619.47rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 37 | 25.24 | 12.27 | 3.97 | 3.24 | 0.68 | 1.11 | 0.32 |
| Away | 40 | 26.1 | 15.4 | 3.35 | 3.3 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 0.45 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.9 | -3.1 | +0.6 | -0.1 | -1.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1.2 | 3 | 5 | 3.27 | high |
| minutes | 20 | 26 | 31 | 25.69 | low |
| points | 8 | 13 | 19.8 | 13.9 | medium |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.65 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES33.9% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ MIN | 41 | 28.56 | +43.5% | 36 | 12/29 | 12/24 | 0/5 | 12/14 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 51% |
| 2026-04-10 | @ BOS | 44 | 27.83 | +58.1% | 36 | 13/29 | 10/19 | 3/10 | 7/11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -32.0 | 53% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ORL | 37 | 24.61 | +50.3% | 19 | 4/14 | 2/7 | 2/7 | 9/11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 50% |
| 2026-04-03 | @ SAC | 37 | 21.97 | +68.4% | 28 | 10/19 | 5/8 | 5/11 | 3/3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.0 | 69% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ POR | 26 | 21.64 | +20.1% | 21 | 7/10 | 4/6 | 3/4 | 4/5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +12.0 | 86% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs HOU | 22 | 20.56 | +7% | 12 | 4/14 | 3/10 | 1/4 | 3/4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -26.0 | 38% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ TOR | 28 | 19.59 | +42.9% | 10 | 3/12 | 2/7 | 1/5 | 3/4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6.0 | 36% |
| 2026-03-24 | @ NYK | 20 | 19.06 | +4.9% | 21 | 9/12 | 6/7 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.0 | 88% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs CLE | 18 | 20.46 | -12% | 7 | 3/11 | 2/6 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3.0 | 32% |
| 2026-03-19 | vs LAC | 24 | 19.83 | +21% | 8 | 4/10 | 4/8 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2.0 | 40% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS20.8%16/77 games
10+ REBOUNDS3.9%3/77 games
5+ ASSISTS24.7%19/77 games
2+ THREES33.8%26/77 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NOP | 77 | 25.7 | 13.9 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 42.5% | 33.6% | 79.4% |
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER38.5descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#281of 409 ranked
PH$10.4MRotation
SAMPLE77observed games
Ball security52
Box defence45
Creation43
Efficiency23
Rebounding22
Scoring65
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
EXPECTED MIN24.4
SCORING SHARE11.5%
CREATION SHARE12.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.