CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Kobe Bufkin

New Orleans Pelicans current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

New Orleans Pelicans · current teamGMichigan

AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate

NBA RANK—not ranked

PH$—pending · how PH$ works

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Indiana Pacers2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES41

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS4.4

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS1.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

14 games

MIN7.1

PTS3.3

REB0.6

AST0.7

STL0.1

BLK0.1

3PM0.4

FG%31.9%

3P%20.8%

FT%91.7%

+/--3.4

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · New Orleans Pelicans

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Indiana Pacers57.7% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Utah Jazz47.4% winProjected 115–116

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Denver Nuggets32.7% winProjected 113–118

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Denver Nuggets46.1% winProjected 115–115

2026-10-29 · HOMEvs Sacramento Kings60.7% winProjected 113–117

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED4.01pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G2.2 PTS · 0.6 REB · 1 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G2 PTS · 0 REB · 0.5 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G1.3 PTS · 0.3 REB · 0.5 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G2 PTS · 0 REB · 0.5 AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 41 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS36.0%67/186

2-POINT47.6%49/103

3-POINT21.7%18/83

FREE THROW73.7%28/38

EFFECTIVE FG%40.9%

TRUE SHOOTING%44.4%

AST / TO2.45

PTS PER 3615.43rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

23 HOME · 18 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	23	9.04	3.74	1.26	1.26	0.39	0.35	0.17
Away	18	11.78	5.22	1.89	1.39	0.5	0.17	0.28
Home − Away	—	-2.7	-1.5	-0.6	-0.1	-0.1	+0.2	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

41 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	3	1.32	high
minutes	3	11	17	10.24	high
points	2	3	9	4.39	high
rebounds	0	1	3	1.54	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

41 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	DR	REB	AST	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-09	@ GSW	4	3.76	+6.4%	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	1	0	1	-7.0	50%
2026-04-07	vs OKC	18	0.72	+2384.7%	9	2/6	0/4	2/2	3/4	3	3	4	1	1	0.0	58%
2026-03-31	vs CLE	1	0.61	+63.6%	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	-5.0	0%
2026-03-30	vs WAS	3	—	—	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	1	-8.0	50%
2026-03-10	vs MIN	2	1.74	+15.1%	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	-2.0	50%
2026-03-06	vs IND	4	2.86	+39.8%	0	0/2	0/0	0/2	0/0	0	0	1	0	2	-7.0	0%
2026-03-01	vs SAC	4	2.65	+51.1%	2	1/5	1/3	0/2	0/0	1	1	0	0	0	-1.0	20%
2026-02-28	@ GSW	6	2	+200.4%	8	2/5	2/3	0/2	4/4	1	1	1	0	0	-4.0	59%
2026-02-22	vs BOS	3	4.23	-29.2%	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	50%
2026-02-12	vs DAL	2	4.63	-56.8%	0	0/1	0/1	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/14 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/14 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/14 games

2+ THREES7.1%1/14 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	LAL	14	7.1	3.3	0.6	0.7	31.9%	20.8%	91.7%
2024–25	ATL	10	12.3	5.3	2.1	1.7	38.3%	21.1%	72.2%
2023–24	ATL	17	11.7	4.8	1.9	1.6	37.0%	22.5%	50.0%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

PENDING SAMPLE

ProbHoops has observed 15 games of this player in 2025–26 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

EXPECTED MIN2.8

SCORING SHARE3.0%

CREATION SHARE2.2%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR40.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.