Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jordan Poole
New Orleans Pelicans current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER37.42025–26
NBA RANK#295of 409
PH$7.5MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Indiana Pacers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN23.9
PTS13.1
REB2.0
AST3.0
STL0.6
BLK0.3
3PM2.4
FG%36.6%
3P%33.5%
FT%87.2%
+/--4.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · New Orleans Pelicans
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED7.15pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G2.2 PTS · 0.6 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.4 PTS · 1.8 REB · 1.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G2.3 PTS · 0.5 REB · 0.9 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G8.8 PTS · 1.4 REB · 2.6 AST
creation↓
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS41.7%2450/5871
2-POINT50.3%1371/2726
3-POINT34.3%1079/3145
FREE THROW87.7%1316/1500
EFFECTIVE FG%50.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.9%
AST / TO1.62
PTS PER 3621.78rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 221 | 27.71 | 16.85 | 2.74 | 3.79 | 2.39 | 0.82 | 0.3 |
| Away | 220 | 26.98 | 16.24 | 2.57 | 3.62 | 2.5 | 0.85 | 0.27 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.7 | +0.6 | +0.2 | +0.2 | -0.1 | -0.0 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3.71 | high |
| minutes | 22.2 | 28 | 33.8 | 27.34 | low |
| points | 9 | 16 | 24 | 16.54 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2.65 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES81.8% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS81.8%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ BOS | 29 | 4.98 | +482.7% | 11 | 3/10 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -40.0 | 45% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs HOU | 6 | 7.25 | -17.2% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -16.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ TOR | 23 | 3.83 | +500.1% | 12 | 3/12 | 1/4 | 2/8 | 4/4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -15.0 | 44% |
| 2026-03-19 | vs LAC | 17 | 2.16 | +687.3% | 5 | 2/6 | 1/2 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.0 | 42% |
| 2026-02-28 | @ UTA | 15 | 13.22 | +13.5% | 11 | 4/8 | 1/1 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -10.0 | 69% |
| 2026-02-26 | @ UTA | 10 | 11.79 | -15.2% | 3 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 | 38% |
| 2026-02-24 | vs GSW | 23 | 9.05 | +154.1% | 12 | 4/11 | 1/1 | 3/10 | 1/1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.0 | 52% |
| 2026-02-21 | vs PHI | 24 | 5.17 | +364.4% | 23 | 8/15 | 3/4 | 5/11 | 2/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +21.0 | 72% |
| 2026-02-20 | vs MIL | 25 | 0.51 | +4792.3% | 3 | 1/6 | 0/2 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -12.0 | 25% |
| 2026-01-23 | @ MEM | 12 | — | — | 6 | 2/8 | 0/1 | 2/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5.0 | 38% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS24.3%9/37 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/37 games
5+ ASSISTS21.6%8/37 games
2+ THREES70.3%26/37 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NOP | 37 | 23.9 | 13.1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 36.6% | 33.5% | 87.2% |
| 2024–25 | WAS | 61 | 30.4 | 21.0 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 43.2% | 37.9% | 87.8% |
| 2023–24 | WAS | 78 | 30.1 | 17.4 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 41.3% | 32.6% | 87.7% |
| 2022–23 | GSW | 82 | 30.0 | 20.4 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 43.0% | 33.6% | 87.0% |
| 2021–22 | GSW | 75 | 30.0 | 18.4 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 44.6% | 36.2% | 92.5% |
| 2020–21 | GSW | 51 | 19.4 | 12.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 43.3% | 35.1% | 88.2% |
| 2019–20 | GSW | 57 | 22.4 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 33.3% | 27.9% | 79.8% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NOP | 37 | 37.4 | #295 / 409 | 7.5M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | WAS | 61 | 51.4 | #107 / 422 | 18.5M | Core |
| 2023–24 | WAS | 78 | 39.8 | #254 / 409 | 11.9M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | GSW | 95 | 44.7 | #180 / 408 | 16.2M | Core |
| 2021–22 | GSW | 96 | 51.1 | #97 / 423 | 22.2M | Core |
| 2020–21 | GSW | 59 | 47.7 | #137 / 410 | 13.7M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | GSW | 61 | 28.1 | #360 / 385 | 6.3M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER37.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#295of 409 ranked
PH$7.5MDepth
SAMPLE37observed games
Ball security52
Box defence24
Creation46
Efficiency29
Rebounding12
Scoring64
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT-46.9 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-23.9 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
EXPECTED MIN14.0
SCORING SHARE11.9%
CREATION SHARE12.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR55.7%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.