Final audited reference season.
Golden State WarriorsWEST · PACIFIC
Golden State Warriors
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
play in
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
50.0% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 49.7
Golden State Warriors finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 49.7, ranked #16 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring47.1
Defense49.7
Possession34.2
Creation76.0
Discipline58.2
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 559.8
GAME 1050.7
GAME 2050.7
GAME 4156.4
GAME 6054.7
FINAL49.7
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2032.1#27/30
2020–2150.0#15/30
2021–2265.7#4/30
2022–2354.0#13/30
2023–2458.0#10/30
2024–2564.8#6/30
2025–2649.7#16/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
Kristaps Porziņģis1 governed next-game sample70dependency-0.7 pp if OUTAl Horford1 governed next-game sample67dependency+0.9 pp if OUTStephen Curry1 governed next-game sample65dependency-0.4 pp if OUTMoses Moody1 governed next-game sample64dependency-0.9 pp if OUTBrandin Podziemski1 governed next-game sample56dependency-0.5 pp if OUTPROFILE FIT · rebounding
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Rudy GobertMIN · rebounding94Mitchell RobinsonBOS · rebounding93Donovan ClinganPOR · rebounding93Jalen DurenDET · rebounding93Kel'el WareMIL · rebounding93PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERBrandin Podziemski
EXPECTED MIN27.6
SCORING SHARE11.7%
CREATION SHARE12.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.4%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERJimmy Butler
EXPECTED MIN23.7
SCORING SHARE17.4%
CREATION SHARE16.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR71.6%
WITH/WITHOUT+4.52 residual pts
PLAYERMoses Moody
EXPECTED MIN22.3
SCORING SHARE10.5%
CREATION SHARE5.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.9%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERDraymond Green
EXPECTED MIN22.3
SCORING SHARE7.3%
CREATION SHARE19.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.5%
WITH/WITHOUT+2.07 residual pts
PLAYERStephen Curry
EXPECTED MIN20.9
SCORING SHARE22.1%
CREATION SHARE16.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR63.3%
WITH/WITHOUT+12.34 residual pts
PLAYERDe'Anthony Melton
EXPECTED MIN17.7
SCORING SHARE11.0%
CREATION SHARE8.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR71.7%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERW. Richard
EXPECTED MIN16.4
SCORING SHARE5.9%
CREATION SHARE4.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.7%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERGui Santos
EXPECTED MIN15.6
SCORING SHARE6.9%
CREATION SHARE7.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.5%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.