Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Gui Santos
Golden State Warriors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER45.52025–26
NBA RANK#171of 409
PH$13.5MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN24.7governed role
NEXT GAME@ Los Angeles Lakers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT+0.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN20.0
PTS8.7
REB3.9
AST2.3
STL0.9
BLK0.3
3PM1.1
FG%48.5%
3P%34.6%
FT%72.7%
+/--0.0
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Golden State Warriors
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL17minutes
EXPECTED18.81pregame reference
DEVIATION-9.6%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G5.8 PTS · 2.8 REB · 1.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G16.6 PTS · 5.8 REB · 2.8 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G12.1 PTS · 3.5 REB · 2.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G16.2 PTS · 5.1 REB · 3.3 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS47.9%311/649
2-POINT62.0%197/318
3-POINT34.4%114/331
FREE THROW74.3%124/167
EFFECTIVE FG%56.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%59.5%
AST / TO1.68
PTS PER 3613.99rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 67 | 14.55 | 5.7 | 2.72 | 1.46 | 0.84 | 0.6 | 0.15 |
| Away | 74 | 16.73 | 6.46 | 3.74 | 1.89 | 0.78 | 0.61 | 0.27 |
| Home − Away | — | -2.2 | -0.8 | -1.0 | -0.4 | +0.1 | -0.0 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.69 | high |
| minutes | 6 | 15 | 26 | 15.7 | high |
| points | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6.1 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3.26 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES32.1% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ LAC | 17 | 18.81 | -9.6% | 7 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +8.0 | 51% |
| 2026-04-10 | @ SAC | 27 | 15.51 | +74.1% | 7 | 3/10 | 2/7 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.0 | 35% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs HOU | 32 | 26.81 | +19.4% | 15 | 5/15 | 3/7 | 2/8 | 3/4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.0 | 45% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CLE | 31 | 26.03 | +19.1% | 25 | 9/14 | 7/8 | 2/6 | 5/6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ DEN | 33 | 30.36 | +8.7% | 9 | 3/9 | 2/5 | 1/4 | 2/2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -12.0 | 46% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs WAS | 33 | 30.31 | +8.9% | 27 | 8/12 | 5/7 | 3/5 | 8/9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +5.0 | 85% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs BKN | 35 | 29.86 | +17.2% | 31 | 11/16 | 7/10 | 4/6 | 5/8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -6.0 | 79% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ ATL | 24 | 30.87 | -22.3% | 2 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -29.0 | 27% |
| 2026-03-20 | @ DET | 30 | 31.09 | -3.5% | 13 | 4/10 | 3/6 | 1/4 | 4/4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.0 | 55% |
| 2026-03-18 | @ BOS | 28 | 32.09 | -12.7% | 13 | 5/12 | 5/8 | 0/4 | 3/3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4.0 | 49% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS7.8%5/64 games
10+ REBOUNDS7.8%5/64 games
5+ ASSISTS17.2%11/64 games
2+ THREES28.1%18/64 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | GSW | 66 | 45.5 | #171 / 409 | 13.5M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | GSW | 65 | 39.9 | #275 / 422 | 8.1M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER45.5descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#171of 409 ranked
PH$13.5MRotation
SAMPLE66observed games
Ball security27
Box defence43
Creation39
Efficiency59
Rebounding41
Scoring42
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+8.0 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+23.4 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+4.3 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY43+0.4 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
GSW
Golden State Warriors
EXPECTED MIN15.6
SCORING SHARE6.9%
CREATION SHARE7.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.