Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Seth Curry
Golden State Warriors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER40.42024–25
NBA RANK#263of 422
PH$8.9MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.8governed role
NEXT GAME@ Los Angeles Lakers2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN13.2
PTS7.1
REB1.2
AST1.0
STL0.3
BLK0.0
3PM1.2
FG%49.0%
3P%48.0%
FT%91.7%
+/-+0.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Golden State Warriors
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL12minutes
EXPECTED8.99pregame reference
DEVIATION+33.5%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G6.4 PTS · 0.6 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G0 PTS · 2 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G4.4 PTS · 0.6 REB · 0.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G0 PTS · 2 REB · 1 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS47.3%1346/2848
2-POINT52.1%708/1360
3-POINT42.9%638/1488
FREE THROW87.5%349/399
EFFECTIVE FG%58.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%60.8%
AST / TO2.11
PTS PER 3616.18rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 178 | 22.43 | 9.85 | 2.13 | 1.89 | 1.71 | 0.56 | 0.16 |
| Away | 180 | 23.28 | 10.69 | 2.09 | 2.07 | 1.86 | 0.65 | 0.12 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.8 | -0.8 | +0.0 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.98 | high |
| minutes | 13.4 | 24 | 32.5 | 22.86 | medium |
| points | 3 | 10 | 17 | 10.28 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 2 | 3.6 | 2.11 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS10.3%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ LAC | 12 | 8.99 | +33.5% | 6 | 2/7 | 0/3 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.0 | 43% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs LAL | 23 | 7.37 | +212.2% | 11 | 4/9 | 3/6 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | 56% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SAC | 16 | 4.98 | +221.1% | 9 | 2/4 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 3/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +16.0 | 78% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs HOU | 13 | 3.25 | +299.4% | 6 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 3/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +6.0 | 69% |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SAS | 10 | 2.1 | +376.1% | 12 | 5/8 | 3/4 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ DEN | 7 | 0.78 | +793.7% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-13 | vs MIN | 7 | 2.35 | +197.7% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-09 | @ UTA | 12 | — | — | 13 | 4/6 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | 89% |
| 2025-12-04 | @ PHI | 14 | 15.16 | -7.7% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.0 | 0% |
| 2025-12-02 | vs OKC | 18 | — | — | 14 | 6/7 | 4/4 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 | 100% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/10 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/10 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/10 games
2+ THREES50.0%5/10 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | GSW | 10 | 13.2 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 49.0% | 48.0% | 91.7% |
| 2024–25 | CHA | 63 | 15.6 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 46.7% | 44.9% | 84.9% |
| 2023–24 | CHADAL | 42 | 14.6 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 39.2% | 35.2% | 90.3% |
| 2022–23 | BKN | 61 | 19.9 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 46.3% | 40.5% | 92.7% |
| 2021–22 | PHIBKN | 62 | 33.1 | 14.9 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 48.9% | 41.9% | 87.2% |
| 2020–21 | PHI | 56 | 28.8 | 12.5 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 46.7% | 44.7% | 89.6% |
| 2019–20 | DAL | 64 | 24.6 | 12.4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 49.5% | 45.2% | 82.5% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | CHA | 64 | 40.4 | #263 / 422 | 8.9M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | DAL | 44 | 32.2 | #362 / 409 | 5.9M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | BKN | 64 | 40.2 | #242 / 408 | 9.7M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | BKN | 67 | 45.1 | #176 / 423 | 15.9M | Core |
| 2020–21 | PHI | 68 | 48.4 | #132 / 410 | 17.9M | Core |
| 2019–20 | DAL | 70 | 49.7 | #96 / 385 | 18.7M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
AF-PLAYER40.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#263of 422 ranked
PH$8.9MDepth
SAMPLE64observed games
Ball security83
Box defence19
Creation24
Efficiency60
Rebounding14
Scoring36
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
GSW
Golden State Warriors
EXPECTED MIN4.9
SCORING SHARE6.4%
CREATION SHARE5.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR37.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.