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Philadelphia 76ers

EAST · ATLANTIC

Philadelphia 76ers

Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.

2025–26 RECORD45–37

Final audited reference season.

CONFERENCE SEED#7

play in

2026–27 SEASON PROBABILITYWithheld

30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.

2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE

Forecast path ahead

80 official games
ASSIGNED EXPECTED WINS40.6

Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.

ASSIGNED SCHEDULE SOS#16 / 30

49.9% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.

CURRENT AF-SCOREPending

Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.

NEXT 5

Upcoming assigned games

All game forecasts
2026-10-20 · AWAY@ NYK28.8% winProjected 109–116Open What If
2026-10-22 · HOMEvs CLE54.5% winProjected 113–114Open What If
2026-10-24 · HOMEvs MIL66.7% winProjected 112–116Open What If
2026-10-25 · HOMEvs DET51.0% winProjected 112–112Open What If
2026-10-28 · AWAY@ IND45.0% winProjected 113–115Open What If

2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE

AF-Score 46.9

#19 of 30

Philadelphia 76ers finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 46.9, ranked #19 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.

Scoring43.9
Defense52.0
Possession62.2
Creation21.1
Discipline39.8
100.0% detailed coverage82/82 games with complete detail0–100 descriptive scale

SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION

How the 2025–26 profile developed

Compared after the same number of team games.
GAME 554.3
GAME 1054.1
GAME 2047.7
GAME 4150.6
GAME 6048.7
FINAL46.9

AF-SCORE HISTORY

Seven-season performance trail

2019–20 → 2025–26
2019–2060.8#8/30
2020–2163.2#6/30
2021–2257.1#12/30
2022–2362.6#5/30
2023–2455.0#16/30
2024–2529.9#25/30
2025–2646.9#19/30

All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.

2026–27 · NBA OFFICIAL CURRENT ROSTER

Roster AF-Player ranking

13 rated · 7 pending

Roster identity is NBA Official. AF-Player / NBA rank / PH$ use the latest completed measured season (2025–26); Expected Minutes comes from the accepted operational prior. Pending is not a low rank, and cold starts or unresolved historical identities receive no invented rating.

RATED PH$ COVERAGE13/2065% of current roster linked to an eligible 2025–26 rating
RATED PH$ TOTAL178.1MRated subset only; not a salary or complete roster price
TOP-5 RATED PH$109.4MFive highest PH$ values among rated current-roster identities
TOP-3 CONCENTRATION42%Share of rated PH$ carried by the top three rated values
TEAM RANK#1
PLAYERJoel EmbiidC-F · #21 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER58.5
NBA RANK#29
PH$22.3MCore
EXPECTED MIN23.9
TEAM RANK#2
PLAYERTyrese MaxeyG · #0 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER58.2
NBA RANK#31
PH$27.3MHigh Value
EXPECTED MIN28.2
TEAM RANK#3
PLAYERLeBron JamesF · #23 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER57.5
NBA RANK#33
PH$25.7MHigh Value
EXPECTED MIN34.2
TEAM RANK#4
PLAYERJaylen BrownG-F · #7 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER51.7
NBA RANK#88
PH$22.0MCore
EXPECTED MIN34.2
TEAM RANK#5
PLAYERAnfernee SimonsG · #22 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER43.5
NBA RANK#201
PH$12.0MRotation
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANK#6
PLAYERAdem BonaF · #30 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER42.4
NBA RANK#212
PH$11.2MRotation
EXPECTED MIN8.5
TEAM RANK#7
PLAYERDominick BarlowF · #25 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER41.5
NBA RANK#224
PH$12.1MRotation
EXPECTED MIN12.8
TEAM RANK#8
PLAYERDean WadeF-C · #32 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER40.0
NBA RANK#254
PH$10.9MRotation
EXPECTED MIN10.2
TEAM RANK#9
PLAYERAriel HukportiC · #55 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER39.9
NBA RANK#255
PH$7.8MDepth
EXPECTED MIN1.7
TEAM RANK#10
PLAYERKentavious Caldwell-PopeG · #3 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER36.5
NBA RANK#311
PH$7.2MDepth
EXPECTED MIN25.6
TEAM RANK#11
PLAYERJabari WalkerF · #33 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER35.4
NBA RANK#323
PH$6.6MDepth
EXPECTED MIN6.0
TEAM RANK#12
PLAYERJustin EdwardsF · #11 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER34.6
NBA RANK#333
PH$6.8MDepth
EXPECTED MIN14.5
TEAM RANK#13
PLAYERTyrese MartinF · #23 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER33.0
NBA RANK#349
PH$6.2MDepth
EXPECTED MIN26.5
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERKyle LowryG · #7 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN11.1
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERMarJon BeauchampF · #16 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN2.6
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERCaleb LoveG · #2 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERDuke MilesG · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERLabaron PhilonG · #00 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERRayan RupertG-F · #21 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERVJ EdgecombeG · #77 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0

7 current-roster players remain Pending. They are listed after every eligible player and are never assigned an artificial low AF-Player or team rank.

E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Depth, dependency and profile fit

descriptive + model context

Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.

WEIGHTED AF-PLAYER47.11

Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.

OUTSIDE TOP-3 AF40.78

Mechanical role split, not official bench.

RATED MINUTES94%

Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.

TOP-3 ROLE SHARE40%

Expected Minutes concentration only.

Open league roster intelligence

PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26

Who carried the largest pregame role?

historical reference

These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.

PLAYERTyrese Maxey
EXPECTED MIN33.2
SCORING SHARE25.0%
CREATION SHARE27.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR78.5%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.54 residual pts
PLAYERV. Edgecombe
EXPECTED MIN31.8
SCORING SHARE14.0%
CREATION SHARE16.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.2%
WITH/WITHOUT+8.23 residual pts
PLAYERQuentin Grimes
EXPECTED MIN25.8
SCORING SHARE11.0%
CREATION SHARE13.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.2%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.19 residual pts
PLAYERKelly Oubre Jr.
EXPECTED MIN23.8
SCORING SHARE12.6%
CREATION SHARE7.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR68.3%
WITH/WITHOUT+5.93 residual pts
PLAYERPaul George
EXPECTED MIN22.3
SCORING SHARE14.1%
CREATION SHARE14.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR65.5%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERDominick Barlow
EXPECTED MIN19.3
SCORING SHARE6.6%
CREATION SHARE5.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR76.5%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERJoel Embiid
EXPECTED MIN16.0
SCORING SHARE22.1%
CREATION SHARE15.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR50.4%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERAndre Drummond
EXPECTED MIN14.3
SCORING SHARE5.2%
CREATION SHARE4.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR71.3%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified

NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY

Current player status

checking

Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.

GAME DAY

Operational status

checking

Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.

PLAYER MILESTONES

Conditional-on-active probabilities

checking

Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.

MOVEMENT

Release-to-release change

checking

Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.

Attribution rule

ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.