Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Indiana Pacers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER38.62025–26
NBA RANK#279of 409
PH$10.2MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN21.2governed role
NEXT GAME@ New Orleans Pelicans2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN32.0
PTS14.1
REB5.0
AST1.6
STL1.3
BLK0.5
3PM1.8
FG%46.9%
3P%37.4%
FT%76.0%
+/--1.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Indiana Pacers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED23.68pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G7.8 PTS · 4.6 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G16.8 PTS · 5.2 REB · 2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G9.2 PTS · 4.8 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G15.5 PTS · 5.2 REB · 2.3 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.7%2423/5419
2-POINT53.1%1671/3146
3-POINT33.1%752/2273
FREE THROW73.9%1010/1366
EFFECTIVE FG%51.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.9%
AST / TO1.13
PTS PER 3618.61rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 205 | 31.4 | 16.31 | 5.6 | 1.39 | 1.87 | 1.08 | 0.58 |
| Away | 204 | 31.11 | 16 | 5.06 | 1.45 | 1.81 | 1.37 | 0.55 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.3 | +0.3 | +0.5 | -0.1 | +0.1 | -0.3 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.42 | high |
| minutes | 25 | 32 | 37.8 | 31.26 | low |
| points | 9 | 16 | 23 | 16.16 | medium |
| rebounds | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5.33 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES379.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ IND | 32 | 23.63 | +35.4% | 15 | 7/16 | 6/12 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +6.0 | 47% |
| 2026-04-09 | @ HOU | 27 | 23.22 | +16.3% | 16 | 7/10 | 5/6 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -21.0 | 80% |
| 2026-04-06 | @ SAS | 29 | 22.09 | +31.3% | 5 | 2/7 | 2/4 | 0/3 | 1/1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11.0 | 34% |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 24 | 18.33 | +30.9% | 3 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -28.0 | 38% |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 30 | 13.63 | +120.1% | 21 | 8/12 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.0 | 84% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ WAS | 21 | 10.66 | +97% | 12 | 5/10 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.0 | 60% |
| 2026-03-30 | @ MIA | 31 | 7.1 | +336.8% | 11 | 5/14 | 4/10 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +9.0 | 39% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ CHA | 28 | 1.87 | +1399.7% | 9 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1.0 | 71% |
| 2026-03-09 | @ CLE | 14 | 23.03 | -39.2% | 6 | 1/6 | 1/3 | 0/3 | 4/5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8.0 | 37% |
| 2026-03-07 | @ ATL | 36 | 22.84 | +57.6% | 24 | 10/15 | 7/10 | 3/5 | 1/3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -8.0 | 74% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS17.4%8/46 games
10+ REBOUNDS8.7%4/46 games
5+ ASSISTS2.2%1/46 games
2+ THREES54.4%25/46 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | PHI | 46 | 32.0 | 14.1 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 46.9% | 37.4% | 76.0% |
| 2024–25 | PHI | 60 | 34.7 | 15.1 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 47.0% | 29.3% | 75.1% |
| 2023–24 | PHI | 68 | 30.3 | 15.4 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 44.1% | 31.1% | 75.0% |
| 2022–23 | CHA | 48 | 32.3 | 20.3 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 43.1% | 31.9% | 76.0% |
| 2021–22 | CHA | 76 | 26.3 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 44.0% | 34.5% | 66.7% |
| 2020–21 | GSW | 55 | 30.7 | 15.4 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 43.9% | 31.6% | 69.5% |
| 2019–20 | PHX | 56 | 34.5 | 18.7 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 45.2% | 35.2% | 78.0% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | PHI | 58 | 38.6 | #279 / 409 | 10.2M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | PHI | 60 | 38.5 | #295 / 422 | 10.2M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | PHI | 75 | 37.9 | #288 / 409 | 10.4M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | CHA | 48 | 41.3 | #225 / 408 | 10.9M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | CHA | 77 | 44.6 | #183 / 423 | 15M | Core |
| 2020–21 | GSW | 55 | 40.9 | #251 / 410 | 11M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | PHX | 56 | 43.8 | #168 / 385 | 15M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER38.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#279of 409 ranked
PH$10.2MRotation
SAMPLE58observed games
Ball security73
Box defence35
Creation14
Efficiency50
Rebounding27
Scoring38
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-10.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+1.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-11.2 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
EXPECTED MIN23.8
SCORING SHARE12.6%
CREATION SHARE7.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR68.3%
+5.93 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 32 normal-load / 4 nonparticipation games.