Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Dean Wade
Philadelphia 76ers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER40.02025–26
NBA RANK#254of 409
PH$10.9MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN10.2governed role
NEXT GAME@ New York Knicks2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT-0.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN22.4
PTS5.7
REB4.1
AST1.5
STL0.7
BLK0.4
3PM1.2
FG%43.6%
3P%36.0%
FT%73.5%
+/-+2.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Philadelphia 76ers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED9.66pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G2.2 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G3.2 PTS · 3.6 REB · 1.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G1.1 PTS · 0.7 REB · 0.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G5.9 PTS · 4.2 REB · 1.6 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.0%635/1476
2-POINT60.9%234/384
3-POINT36.7%401/1092
FREE THROW68.8%126/183
EFFECTIVE FG%56.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%57.7%
AST / TO3.01
PTS PER 369.63rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 166 | 19.63 | 5.67 | 3.63 | 1.13 | 1.27 | 0.72 | 0.3 |
| Away | 170 | 20.36 | 5.04 | 3.66 | 1.02 | 1.12 | 0.56 | 0.4 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.7 | +0.6 | -0.0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.2 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.07 | high |
| minutes | 13 | 21 | 27 | 20 | medium |
| points | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5.35 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3.65 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES41.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ ATL | 17 | 7.71 | +120.6% | 3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -18.0 | 150% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs ATL | 21 | 5.86 | +258.2% | 8 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +12.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs ORL | 21 | 18.61 | +12.8% | 2 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ NOP | 23 | 18.04 | +27.5% | 7 | 3/6 | 2/2 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +11.0 | 58% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ CHI | 19 | 18 | +5.6% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ MIL | 25 | 16.16 | +54.7% | 9 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +13.0 | 56% |
| 2026-03-13 | @ DAL | 18 | 13.71 | +31.3% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +13.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-11 | @ ORL | 20 | 13.22 | +51.3% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -10.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-09 | vs PHI | 20 | 13.4 | +49.2% | 13 | 5/9 | 2/3 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +16.0 | 72% |
| 2026-03-08 | vs BOS | 21 | 11 | +90.9% | 7 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +1.0 | 70% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/57 games
10+ REBOUNDS1.8%1/57 games
5+ ASSISTS1.8%1/57 games
2+ THREES35.1%20/57 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CLE | 57 | 22.4 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 43.6% | 36.0% | 73.5% |
| 2024–25 | CLE | 57 | 21.4 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 41.0% | 35.9% | 53.3% |
| 2023–24 | CLE | 54 | 20.6 | 5.4 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 41.4% | 39.1% | 76.9% |
| 2022–23 | CLE | 44 | 20.2 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 41.2% | 35.4% | 65.2% |
| 2021–22 | CLE | 50 | 19.1 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 45.6% | 35.7% | 66.7% |
| 2020–21 | CLE | 62 | 19.3 | 6.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 43.6% | 37.1% | 76.9% |
| 2019–20 | CLE | 12 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 69.2% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CLE | 75 | 40.0 | #254 / 409 | 10.9M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | CLE | 66 | 37.0 | #314 / 422 | 8.1M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | CLE | 57 | 38.1 | #286 / 409 | 8.4M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | CLE | 46 | 32.6 | #351 / 408 | 6.2M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | CLE | 59 | 39.7 | #267 / 423 | 8.8M | Depth |
| 2020–21 | CLE | 71 | 40.6 | #258 / 410 | 9.3M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER40.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#254of 409 ranked
PH$10.9MRotation
SAMPLE75observed games
Ball security89
Box defence33
Creation43
Efficiency49
Rebounding34
Scoring7
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+20.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+12.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-12.2 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY61-0.8 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
EXPECTED MIN17.8
SCORING SHARE5.0%
CREATION SHARE5.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR72.4%
+0.58 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 23 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.