Final audited reference season.
Cleveland CavaliersEAST · CENTRAL
Cleveland Cavaliers
Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.
playoff direct
30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.
2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE
Forecast path ahead
Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.
49.7% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.
Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.
NEXT 5
Upcoming assigned games
2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE
AF-Score 64.9
Cleveland Cavaliers finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 64.9, ranked #7 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.
Scoring75.6
Defense56.1
Possession62.5
Creation72.2
Discipline52.8
SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION
How the 2025–26 profile developed
GAME 549.9
GAME 1057.4
GAME 2058.4
GAME 4157.6
GAME 6064.5
FINAL64.9
AF-SCORE HISTORY
Seven-season performance trail
2019–2029.2#29/30
2020–2128.8#28/30
2021–2260.6#7/30
2022–2367.2#2/30
2023–2461.3#6/30
2024–2575.1#2/30
2025–2664.9#7/30
All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.
E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Depth, dependency and profile fit
Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.
Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.
Mechanical role split, not official bench.
Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.
Expected Minutes concentration only.
STAR DEPENDENCY
Donovan Mitchell1 governed next-game sample95dependency-2.1 pp if OUTJarrett Allen1 governed next-game sample94dependency-1.5 pp if OUTEvan Mobley1 governed next-game sample84dependency-1.4 pp if OUTJames Harden1 governed next-game sample78dependency-0.8 pp if OUTJaylon Tyson1 governed next-game sample52dependency+0.4 pp if OUTPROFILE FIT · rebounding
Statistical profile examples only. Not a trade recommendation.
Rudy GobertMIN · rebounding94Mitchell RobinsonBOS · rebounding93Donovan ClinganPOR · rebounding93Jalen DurenDET · rebounding93Kel'el WareMIL · rebounding93PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26
Who carried the largest pregame role?
These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.
PLAYERJames Harden
EXPECTED MIN31.8
SCORING SHARE17.6%
CREATION SHARE28.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.5%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERDonovan Mitchell
EXPECTED MIN29.8
SCORING SHARE23.1%
CREATION SHARE19.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR79.9%
WITH/WITHOUT+4.53 residual pts
PLAYEREvan Mobley
EXPECTED MIN26.8
SCORING SHARE15.4%
CREATION SHARE14.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR75.0%
WITH/WITHOUT-0.23 residual pts
PLAYERMax Strus
EXPECTED MIN23.7
SCORING SHARE8.0%
CREATION SHARE8.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.9%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERJaylon Tyson
EXPECTED MIN20.5
SCORING SHARE10.1%
CREATION SHARE7.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.2%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERJarrett Allen
EXPECTED MIN20.4
SCORING SHARE12.6%
CREATION SHARE5.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR68.9%
WITH/WITHOUT+3.47 residual pts
PLAYERDe'Andre Hunter
EXPECTED MIN20.4
SCORING SHARE11.9%
CREATION SHARE7.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR73.6%
WITH/WITHOUT-3.76 residual pts
PLAYERDarius Garland
EXPECTED MIN19.0
SCORING SHARE13.2%
CREATION SHARE21.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR61.6%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY
Current player status
Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.
GAME DAY
Operational status
Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.
PLAYER MILESTONES
Conditional-on-active probabilities
Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.
MOVEMENT
Release-to-release change
Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.
Attribution rule
ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.