Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Max Strus
LA Clippers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER40.42025–26
NBA RANK#244of 409
PH$8.4MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN18.6governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Sacramento Kings2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.2 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN24.0
PTS10.7
REB5.0
AST1.8
STL0.3
BLK0.0
3PM2.8
FG%44.9%
3P%41.7%
FT%50.0%
+/--0.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · LA Clippers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED22.52pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G2 PTS · 1.2 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11 PTS · 5 REB · 1.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G7.4 PTS · 2.2 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11 PTS · 5 REB · 1.2 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
STEADY historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.7%1143/2674
2-POINT58.4%424/726
3-POINT36.9%719/1948
FREE THROW80.7%238/295
EFFECTIVE FG%56.2%
TRUE SHOOTING%57.8%
AST / TO2.43
PTS PER 3614.66rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 153 | 25.13 | 10.17 | 3.36 | 2.35 | 2.28 | 0.47 | 0.22 |
| Away | 159 | 25.92 | 10.61 | 3.59 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 0.64 | 0.23 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.8 | -0.4 | -0.2 | +0.0 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2.34 | high |
| minutes | 18.7 | 27 | 33.5 | 25.53 | medium |
| points | 4 | 10 | 16 | 10.39 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3.48 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES72.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games
10+ ASSISTS20.6%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ ATL | 23 | 19.81 | +16.1% | 2 | 1/9 | 1/5 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -30.0 | 11% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs ATL | 21 | 20.43 | +2.8% | 8 | 3/7 | 1/2 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.0 | 57% |
| 2026-04-02 | @ GSW | 28 | 19.26 | +45.4% | 24 | 9/14 | 3/4 | 6/10 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +17.0 | 86% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ LAL | 23 | 19.06 | +20.7% | 11 | 4/8 | 1/1 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10.0 | 69% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs MIA | 23 | 18.98 | +21.2% | 29 | 10/14 | 2/3 | 8/11 | 1/2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +22.0 | 97% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs ORL | 27 | 21.15 | +27.6% | 11 | 4/10 | 1/2 | 3/8 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +13.0 | 55% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ NOP | 24 | 20.22 | +18.7% | 5 | 2/5 | 1/1 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ CHI | 24 | 18.86 | +27.2% | 0 | 0/5 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -7.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ MIL | 23 | — | — | 6 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +1.0 | 50% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS22.2%2/9 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/9 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/9 games
2+ THREES66.7%6/9 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CLE | 9 | 24.0 | 10.7 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 44.9% | 41.7% | 50.0% |
| 2024–25 | CLE | 46 | 25.7 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 44.2% | 38.4% | 82.3% |
| 2023–24 | CLE | 70 | 32.0 | 12.2 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 41.8% | 35.1% | 79.4% |
| 2022–23 | MIA | 80 | 28.4 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 41.0% | 35.0% | 87.6% |
| 2021–22 | MIA | 66 | 23.3 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 44.3% | 41.1% | 77.1% |
| 2020–21 | MIA | 39 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 45.5% | 33.8% | 66.7% |
| 2019–20 | CHI | 2 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CLE | 27 | 40.4 | #244 / 409 | 8.4M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | CLE | 55 | 47.8 | #157 / 422 | 14.2M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | CLE | 82 | 36.7 | #311 / 409 | 10M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | MIA | 105 | 34.5 | #321 / 408 | 10M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | MIA | 86 | 39.6 | #270 / 423 | 11M | Rotation |
| 2020–21 | MIA | 69 | 42.6 | #211 / 410 | 9M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER40.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#244of 409 ranked
PH$8.4MDepth
SAMPLE27observed games
Ball security48
Box defence26
Creation33
Efficiency51
Rebounding40
Scoring34
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+7.0 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-22.5 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-7.3 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY31-0.2 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
EXPECTED MIN23.7
SCORING SHARE8.0%
CREATION SHARE8.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.9%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.