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LA Clippers

WEST · PACIFIC

LA Clippers

Canonical ProbHoops team profile. Forecast and movement data are published only when the current release passes the operational governance gates.

2025–26 RECORD42–40

Final audited reference season.

CONFERENCE SEED#9

play in

2026–27 SEASON PROBABILITYWithheld

30 NBA Cup-dependent regular-season matchups remain unassigned.

2026–27 · ASSIGNED SCHEDULE INTELLIGENCE

Forecast path ahead

80 official games
ASSIGNED EXPECTED WINS42.1

Sum of governed win probabilities over 80 assigned games only — not an 82-game projection.

ASSIGNED SCHEDULE SOS#17 / 30

49.9% opponent expected-win rate · #1 is toughest.

CURRENT AF-SCOREPending

Starts only after verified final detailed boxscores.

NEXT 5

Upcoming assigned games

All game forecasts
2026-10-21 · HOMEvs SAC69.4% winProjected 112–117Open What If
2026-10-23 · AWAY@ LAL38.4% winProjected 112–115Open What If
2026-10-25 · AWAY@ OKC31.4% winProjected 110–116Open What If
2026-10-28 · HOMEvs LAL52.8% winProjected 112–115Open What If
2026-10-30 · AWAY@ MIN44.0% winProjected 112–115Open What If

2025–26 PERFORMANCE REFERENCE

AF-Score 49.6

#17 of 30

LA Clippers finished the last completed season with an AF-Score of 49.6, ranked #17 of 30 in the full historical field. This describes observed team performance; it is not a 2026–27 forecast and not a win probability.

Scoring77.8
Defense44.9
Possession31.7
Creation13.3
Discipline60.4
100.0% detailed coverage82/82 games with complete detail0–100 descriptive scale

SAME-GAMES-PLAYED EVOLUTION

How the 2025–26 profile developed

Compared after the same number of team games.
GAME 549.5
GAME 1042.2
GAME 2032.8
GAME 4143.0
GAME 6046.3
FINAL49.6

AF-SCORE HISTORY

Seven-season performance trail

2019–20 → 2025–26
2019–2062.9#6/30
2020–2165.3#5/30
2021–2246.8#21/30
2022–2348.7#19/30
2023–2457.8#12/30
2024–2561.3#8/30
2025–2649.6#17/30

All seven completed seasons now use complete 30-team, full-observed historical fields. Current 2026–27 AF-Score starts only after verified final team box scores arrive.

2026–27 · NBA OFFICIAL CURRENT ROSTER

Roster AF-Player ranking

13 rated · 12 pending

Roster identity is NBA Official. AF-Player / NBA rank / PH$ use the latest completed measured season (2025–26); Expected Minutes comes from the accepted operational prior. Pending is not a low rank, and cold starts or unresolved historical identities receive no invented rating.

RATED PH$ COVERAGE13/2552% of current roster linked to an eligible 2025–26 rating
RATED PH$ TOTAL161.0MRated subset only; not a salary or complete roster price
TOP-5 RATED PH$90.9MFive highest PH$ values among rated current-roster identities
TOP-3 CONCENTRATION38%Share of rated PH$ carried by the top three rated values
TEAM RANK#1
PLAYERKawhi LeonardF · #2 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER61.7
NBA RANK#13
PH$26.1MHigh Value
EXPECTED MIN33.8
TEAM RANK#2
PLAYERIsaiah JacksonF · #23 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER55.7
NBA RANK#48
PH$17.7MCore
EXPECTED MIN10.1
TEAM RANK#3
PLAYERJordan MillerG · #22 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER50.9
NBA RANK#97
PH$16.7MCore
EXPECTED MIN12.7
TEAM RANK#4
PLAYERDarius GarlandG · #10 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER50.5
NBA RANK#103
PH$16.5MCore
EXPECTED MIN26.2
TEAM RANK#5
PLAYERBennedict MathurinG-F · #9 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER45.8
NBA RANK#166
PH$13.9MRotation
EXPECTED MIN25.4
TEAM RANK#6
PLAYERDerrick Jones Jr.F · #5 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER41.6
NBA RANK#223
PH$10.6MRotation
EXPECTED MIN19.4
TEAM RANK#7
PLAYERRui HachimuraF · #28 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER40.7
NBA RANK#235
PH$12.8MRotation
EXPECTED MIN35.5
TEAM RANK#8
PLAYERMax StrusG-F · #2 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER40.4
NBA RANK#244
PH$8.4MDepth
EXPECTED MIN18.6
TEAM RANK#9
PLAYERKris DunnG · #8 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER38.6
NBA RANK#278
PH$10.9MRotation
EXPECTED MIN27.0
TEAM RANK#10
PLAYERJalen PickettG · #24 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER36.1
NBA RANK#315
PH$6.8MDepth
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANK#11
PLAYERBrook LopezC · #11 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER35.0
NBA RANK#329
PH$8.1MDepth
EXPECTED MIN31.3
TEAM RANK#12
PLAYERNicolas BatumG-F · #33 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER33.9
NBA RANK#338
PH$7.2MDepth
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANK#13
PLAYERCam ChristieG · #24 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER26.2
NBA RANK#399
PH$5.3MDepth
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERBaba MillerF · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERBradley BealG · #0 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERJamarion SharpC · #33 · role prior pending
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERJohni BroomeF · #22 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERKeaton WaglerG · #1 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERKobe SandersG · #4 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERNarcisse NgoyC · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERNick MartinelliF · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERNorchad OmierF · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERTyTy Washington Jr.G · #14 · accepted role prior
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERYanic Konan NiederhäuserC · #14 · cold start
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0
TEAM RANKPending
PLAYERYuki KawamuraG · #8 · role prior pending
AF-PLAYER—
NBA RANK—
PH$—no eligible sample
EXPECTED MIN0.0

12 current-roster players remain Pending. They are listed after every eligible player and are never assigned an artificial low AF-Player or team rank.

E67 · ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Depth, dependency and profile fit

descriptive + model context

Team Depth uses the current governed Expected Minutes allocation and the latest eligible AF-Player observations. Star Dependency combines AF-Player percentile with the player’s governed next-game What If impact percentile within this team. It is model dependency, not causal truth.

WEIGHTED AF-PLAYER45.51

Expected-minute-weighted rated rotation.

OUTSIDE TOP-3 AF45.15

Mechanical role split, not official bench.

RATED MINUTES100%

Share of the governed 240-minute team accounting carrying eligible AF-Player.

TOP-3 ROLE SHARE42%

Expected Minutes concentration only.

Open league roster intelligence

PLAYER ROLE & IMPACT · 2025–26

Who carried the largest pregame role?

historical reference

These player rows summarize pregame-known role and workload from the last completed season. With/without values, when shown, are residualized historical diagnostics with sample-size gates — not causal injury estimates.

PLAYERJames Harden
EXPECTED MIN28.9
SCORING SHARE22.0%
CREATION SHARE35.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR76.6%
WITH/WITHOUT+1.25 residual pts
PLAYERKris Dunn
EXPECTED MIN26.6
SCORING SHARE6.7%
CREATION SHARE14.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.3%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERKawhi Leonard
EXPECTED MIN25.5
SCORING SHARE23.9%
CREATION SHARE14.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR72.0%
WITH/WITHOUT+4.42 residual pts
PLAYERBennedict Mathurin
EXPECTED MIN25.1
SCORING SHARE16.3%
CREATION SHARE11.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR78.8%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERIvica Zubac
EXPECTED MIN23.8
SCORING SHARE12.9%
CREATION SHARE9.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR73.0%
WITH/WITHOUT-1.61 residual pts
PLAYERJohn Collins
EXPECTED MIN23.3
SCORING SHARE12.3%
CREATION SHARE4.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.3%
WITH/WITHOUT+0.26 residual pts
PLAYERDarius Garland
EXPECTED MIN22.3
SCORING SHARE16.4%
CREATION SHARE26.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR67.2%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified
PLAYERBrook Lopez
EXPECTED MIN18.9
SCORING SHARE7.0%
CREATION SHARE4.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR80.3%
WITH/WITHOUTsample not qualified

NBA OFFICIAL AVAILABILITY

Current player status

checking

Checking the governed NBA Official availability state.

GAME DAY

Operational status

checking

Checking today and upcoming NBA game state.

PLAYER MILESTONES

Conditional-on-active probabilities

checking

Current rows stay withheld until deterministic NBA-official pre-tip availability is integrated.

MOVEMENT

Release-to-release change

checking

Movement requires two eligible published probability releases from the same season.

Attribution rule

ProbHoops does not infer a cause from a probability delta. A movement driver can be canonical only when deterministic counterfactual provenance reproduces the observed change.