CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

James Harden

Cleveland Cavaliers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Cleveland Cavaliers · current teamGUSAArizona State

AF-PLAYER56.52025–26

NBA RANK#43of 409

PH$26.3MHigh Value · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN38.4governed role

NEXT GAME@ Philadelphia 76ers2026-10-22 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES448

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS23.5

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS6.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS9.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

66 games

MIN34.8

PTS23.9

REB4.7

AST7.9

STL1.1

BLK0.4

3PM3.1

FG%43.3%

3P%37.4%

FT%89.3%

+/-+1.2

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-22 · AWAY@ Philadelphia 76ers45.5% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs Brooklyn Nets76.6% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Minnesota Timberwolves59.3% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Washington Wizards70.1% winProjected 112–118

2026-10-29 · AWAY@ Atlanta Hawks41.7% winProjected 113–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED31.39pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G8.2 PTS · 1 REB · 1.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G20 PTS · 3 REB · 6.6 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G11.2 PTS · 2.1 REB · 3.8 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G20.4 PTS · 4 REB · 6.9 AST

creation↓

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↓

COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 448 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS43.1%3105/7199

2-POINT50.6%1769/3494

3-POINT36.1%1336/3705

FREE THROW87.3%2969/3400

EFFECTIVE FG%52.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%60.5%

AST / TO2.38

PTS PER 3623.57rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

229 HOME · 219 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	229	35.41	22.98	6.3	9.18	2.9	1.26	0.71
Away	219	36.3	23.98	5.94	8.88	3.06	1.41	0.62
Home − Away	—	-0.9	-1.0	+0.4	+0.3	-0.2	-0.1	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

448 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	6	9	12	9.03	medium
minutes	32	36.6	39.2	35.85	low
points	16	22	30.6	23.47	medium
rebounds	4	6	8	6.12	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

448 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES20846.4% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES388.5% of games

10+ ASSISTS19042.4%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	@ ATL	25	34.18	-26.9%	20	6/13	4/7	2/6	6/6	0	0	0	5	0	0	5	1	-34.0	64%
2026-04-08	vs ATL	34	34.53	-1.5%	21	6/23	2/13	4/10	5/5	1	4	5	4	2	0	2	2	+1.0	42%
2026-04-02	@ GSW	37	33.65	+10%	19	7/11	4/5	3/6	2/2	0	2	2	5	0	0	4	1	+1.0	80%
2026-03-31	@ LAL	28	34.91	-19.8%	17	6/13	4/8	2/5	3/5	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1	-19.0	56%
2026-03-27	vs MIA	30	35.91	-16.5%	17	4/11	2/5	2/6	7/7	0	5	5	14	2	0	1	3	+25.0	60%
2026-03-25	vs MIA	43	32.18	+33.6%	18	4/10	1/1	3/9	7/7	1	8	9	7	0	1	5	1	-6.0	69%
2026-03-24	vs ORL	37	30.6	+20.9%	26	8/16	4/10	4/6	6/7	0	3	3	7	1	1	2	4	-2.0	68%
2026-03-21	@ NOP	36	29.16	+23.5%	20	8/17	4/8	4/9	0/0	0	6	6	10	1	1	2	2	+14.0	59%
2026-03-19	@ CHI	37	28.79	+28.5%	36	10/23	3/10	7/13	9/11	1	6	7	9	2	1	5	5	+9.0	65%
2026-03-17	@ MIL	34	30.84	+10.2%	27	7/10	5/6	2/4	11/13	1	4	5	6	2	0	2	4	+17.0	86%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS68.2%45/66 games

10+ REBOUNDS4.5%3/66 games

5+ ASSISTS92.4%61/66 games

2+ THREES83.3%55/66 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CLE LAC	66	34.8	23.9	4.7	7.9	43.3%	37.4%	89.3%
2024–25	LAC	78	35.4	22.7	5.8	8.6	40.8%	35.2%	87.4%
2023–24	LAC	72	34.3	16.6	5.1	8.5	42.8%	38.1%	87.8%
2022–23	PHI	58	36.8	21.0	6.1	10.7	44.0%	38.4%	86.7%
2021–22	PHI BKN	64	37.2	22.1	7.7	10.3	41.2%	33.1%	87.6%
2020–21	HOU BKN	43	36.6	24.5	7.8	10.7	46.4%	35.5%	85.9%
2019–20	HOU	67	36.5	34.2	6.5	7.5	44.4%	35.2%	86.6%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	CLE	84	56.5	#43 / 409	26.3M	High Value
2024–25	LAC	85	56.0	#51 / 422	25.6M	High Value
2023–24	LAC	79	56.5	#49 / 409	24.9M	Core
2022–23	PHI	69	56.7	#41 / 408	25.1M	High Value
2021–22	PHI	77	56.2	#45 / 423	26.1M	High Value
2020–21	BKN	52	65.8	#8 / 410	26.3M	High Value
2019–20	HOU	79	66.9	#4 / 385	29.5M	High Value

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#43 OF 409

AF-PLAYER56.5descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#43of 409 ranked

PH$26.3MHigh Value

SAMPLE84observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+5.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+1.6 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGESTABLE+3.0 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY78-0.8 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

EXPECTED MIN31.8

SCORING SHARE17.6%

CREATION SHARE28.1%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

LAC

LA Clippers

EXPECTED MIN28.9

SCORING SHARE22.0%

CREATION SHARE35.1%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR76.6%

+1.25 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 38 normal-load / 5 nonparticipation games.