Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Ivica Zubac
Indiana Pacers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER54.12025–26
NBA RANK#64of 409
PH$19.8MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN26.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ New Orleans Pelicans2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN30.8
PTS14.4
REB10.9
AST2.2
STL0.4
BLK0.8
3PM0.0
FG%60.3%
3P%—
FT%70.5%
+/--0.5
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Indiana Pacers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED1.97pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11.8 PTS · 8.2 REB · 2.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G13 PTS · 9.4 REB · 2 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS62.9%2322/3693
2-POINT63.0%2321/3685
3-POINT—1/8
FREE THROW71.7%961/1340
EFFECTIVE FG%62.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%65.5%
AST / TO1.17
PTS PER 3615.85rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 241 | 25.68 | 11.23 | 9.36 | 1.54 | 0 | 0.36 | 1.06 |
| Away | 247 | 26.49 | 11.74 | 9.39 | 1.63 | 0 | 0.46 | 1.04 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.8 | -0.5 | -0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.59 | high |
| minutes | 19.9 | 26 | 33 | 26.09 | low |
| points | 6 | 11 | 16 | 11.49 | high |
| rebounds | 6 | 9 | 13 | 9.38 | medium |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES17936.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.2% of games
10+ ASSISTS10.2%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | vs POR | 23 | 24.84 | -7.4% | 18 | 7/18 | 7/18 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -9.0 | 45% |
| 2026-03-13 | vs NYK | 29 | — | — | 11 | 5/9 | 5/9 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -12.0 | 56% |
| 2026-02-02 | vs PHI | 33 | 26.96 | +22.4% | 8 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -11.0 | 93% |
| 2026-02-01 | @ PHX | 33 | 25.53 | +29.3% | 14 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 4/9 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +9.0 | 78% |
| 2026-01-30 | @ DEN | 30 | 25.28 | +18.7% | 13 | 6/10 | 6/10 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.0 | 60% |
| 2026-01-27 | @ UTA | 22 | 27.2 | -19.1% | 9 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +7.0 | 65% |
| 2026-01-25 | vs BKN | 23 | — | — | 11 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +4.0 | 81% |
| 2026-01-22 | vs LAL | 32 | — | — | 18 | 7/13 | 7/13 | 0/0 | 4/4 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +15.0 | 61% |
| 2026-01-20 | @ CHI | 22 | — | — | 12 | 5/12 | 5/12 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 | 45% |
| 2026-01-19 | @ WAS | 30 | — | — | 14 | 7/10 | 7/10 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -3.0 | 70% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS15.6%7/45 games
10+ REBOUNDS62.2%28/45 games
5+ ASSISTS6.7%3/45 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/45 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | INDLAC | 45 | 30.8 | 14.4 | 10.9 | 2.2 | 60.3% | — | 70.5% |
| 2024–25 | LAC | 79 | 32.9 | 16.6 | 12.7 | 2.7 | 62.5% | — | 65.7% |
| 2023–24 | LAC | 68 | 26.4 | 11.7 | 9.2 | 1.4 | 64.9% | — | 72.3% |
| 2022–23 | LAC | 76 | 28.6 | 10.8 | 9.9 | 1.0 | 63.4% | 0.0% | 69.8% |
| 2021–22 | LAC | 76 | 24.4 | 10.3 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 62.6% | — | 72.7% |
| 2020–21 | LAC | 72 | 22.3 | 9.0 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 65.2% | 25.0% | 79.0% |
| 2019–20 | LAC | 72 | 18.4 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 1.1 | 61.3% | 0.0% | 74.7% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | LAC | 45 | 54.1 | #64 / 409 | 19.8M | Core |
| 2024–25 | LAC | 86 | 63.8 | #12 / 422 | 28.4M | High Value |
| 2023–24 | LAC | 74 | 59.4 | #31 / 409 | 23.6M | Core |
| 2022–23 | LAC | 81 | 54.0 | #60 / 408 | 22.4M | Core |
| 2021–22 | LAC | 78 | 59.5 | #23 / 423 | 24.5M | Core |
| 2020–21 | LAC | 89 | 57.2 | #38 / 410 | 24.1M | Core |
| 2019–20 | LAC | 85 | 59.5 | #24 / 385 | 23.5M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER54.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#64of 409 ranked
PH$19.8MCore
SAMPLE45observed games
Ball security50
Box defence34
Creation23
Efficiency70
Rebounding85
Scoring46
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+30.9 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-12.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-4.7 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
IND
Indiana Pacers
EXPECTED MIN12.1
SCORING SHARE12.0%
CREATION SHARE4.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR44.2%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
LAC
LA Clippers
EXPECTED MIN23.7
SCORING SHARE12.9%
CREATION SHARE9.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR73.0%
-1.61 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 30 normal-load / 4 nonparticipation games.