Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Brook Lopez
LA Clippers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER35.02025–26
NBA RANK#329of 409
PH$8.1MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN31.3governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Sacramento Kings2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.6 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN21.7
PTS8.4
REB3.6
AST1.2
STL0.6
BLK1.1
3PM1.5
FG%42.0%
3P%35.4%
FT%78.6%
+/-+0.0
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · LA Clippers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL23minutes
EXPECTED28.92pregame reference
DEVIATION-20.5%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G10.6 PTS · 4.4 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G10.6 PTS · 7.2 REB · 2.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G11.5 PTS · 5.6 REB · 1.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G8.7 PTS · 5.2 REB · 1.8 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS48.5%2116/4359
2-POINT60.6%1372/2263
3-POINT35.5%744/2096
FREE THROW82.0%694/846
EFFECTIVE FG%57.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%59.9%
AST / TO1.29
PTS PER 3615.93rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 228 | 28.05 | 12.09 | 4.89 | 1.42 | 1.66 | 0.59 | 1.99 |
| Away | 228 | 28.14 | 12.78 | 5.13 | 1.26 | 1.6 | 0.59 | 1.88 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.1 | -0.7 | -0.2 | +0.2 | +0.1 | 0.0 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.34 | high |
| minutes | 23 | 29 | 34 | 28.09 | low |
| points | 7 | 12 | 18 | 12.43 | high |
| rebounds | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5.01 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES286.1% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs GSW | 23 | 28.92 | -20.5% | 7 | 3/8 | 2/4 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6.0 | 44% |
| 2026-04-10 | @ POR | 36 | 26.98 | +33.4% | 21 | 8/15 | 3/4 | 5/11 | 0/0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.0 | 70% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs OKC | 30 | 27.11 | +10.7% | 16 | 6/12 | 3/7 | 3/5 | 1/3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -29.0 | 60% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ SAC | 19 | 28.32 | -32.9% | 9 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 4/4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +15.0 | 67% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs SAS | 24 | 29.41 | -18.4% | 6 | 3/12 | 3/8 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -12.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs POR | 36 | 28.45 | +26.5% | 18 | 7/16 | 5/8 | 2/8 | 2/2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -11.0 | 53% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ MIL | 25 | 28.17 | -11.2% | 8 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 4/5 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +23.0 | 77% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ IND | 33 | 26.48 | +24.6% | 16 | 6/11 | 3/5 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +10.0 | 70% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs TOR | 25 | 27.22 | -8.2% | 14 | 5/10 | 2/4 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ DAL | 35 | 26.75 | +30.8% | 10 | 4/8 | 2/2 | 2/6 | 0/2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 | 56% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS4.3%3/70 games
10+ REBOUNDS1.4%1/70 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/70 games
2+ THREES38.6%27/70 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | LAC | 70 | 21.7 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 42.0% | 35.4% | 78.6% |
| 2024–25 | MIL | 79 | 31.8 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 50.7% | 37.0% | 83.7% |
| 2023–24 | MIL | 79 | 30.5 | 12.5 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 48.5% | 36.6% | 82.1% |
| 2022–23 | MIL | 78 | 30.4 | 15.9 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 53.1% | 37.4% | 78.4% |
| 2021–22 | MIL | 13 | 22.9 | 12.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 46.6% | 35.9% | 87.0% |
| 2020–21 | MIL | 69 | 27.2 | 12.4 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 50.5% | 34.2% | 84.5% |
| 2019–20 | MIL | 68 | 26.7 | 12.0 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 43.5% | 31.4% | 83.5% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | LAC | 71 | 35.0 | #329 / 409 | 8.1M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | MIL | 85 | 46.9 | #168 / 422 | 17.2M | Core |
| 2023–24 | MIL | 85 | 45.9 | #160 / 409 | 17.1M | Core |
| 2022–23 | MIL | 83 | 51.7 | #81 / 408 | 22.1M | Core |
| 2021–22 | MIL | 25 | 44.1 | #191 / 423 | 10.6M | Rotation |
| 2020–21 | MIL | 92 | 48.2 | #133 / 410 | 19.4M | Core |
| 2019–20 | MIL | 79 | 42.5 | #191 / 385 | 14.4M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER35.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#329of 409 ranked
PH$8.1MDepth
SAMPLE71observed games
Ball security69
Box defence56
Creation20
Efficiency34
Rebounding26
Scoring32
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-51.3 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-40.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+9.3 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY26-0.6 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
LAC
LA Clippers
EXPECTED MIN18.9
SCORING SHARE7.0%
CREATION SHARE4.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR80.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.