Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Isaiah Jackson
LA Clippers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER55.72025–26
NBA RANK#48of 409
PH$17.7MCore · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN10.1governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Sacramento Kings2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN16.4
PTS6.5
REB5.2
AST1.0
STL0.6
BLK0.9
3PM0.0
FG%62.7%
3P%0.0%
FT%66.7%
+/--1.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · LA Clippers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED2.33pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5 PTS · 4.6 REB · 0.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.8 PTS · 4.8 REB · 0.4 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS60.1%590/981
2-POINT61.8%583/944
3-POINT18.9%7/37
FREE THROW67.0%295/440
EFFECTIVE FG%60.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%63.1%
AST / TO0.89
PTS PER 3616.55rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 101 | 14.92 | 6.88 | 4.2 | 0.65 | 0.03 | 0.51 | 1.34 |
| Away | 109 | 15.75 | 7.22 | 4.77 | 0.88 | 0.04 | 0.64 | 1.11 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.2 | -0.0 | -0.1 | +0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.77 | high |
| minutes | 8 | 16 | 22 | 15.35 | medium |
| points | 2 | 6 | 12 | 7.06 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4.5 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES178.1% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | @ IND | 14 | 17.86 | -21.6% | 4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.0 | 69% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs TOR | 23 | 16.41 | +40.1% | 12 | 6/6 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +15.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ DAL | 15 | 16.35 | -8.2% | 10 | 4/4 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +3.0 | 102% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ NOP | 19 | 15.12 | +25.6% | 13 | 6/9 | 6/7 | 0/2 | 1/3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 | 63% |
| 2026-03-16 | vs SAS | 17 | 14.71 | +15.6% | 11 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +10.0 | 81% |
| 2026-03-14 | vs SAC | 23 | 11.1 | +107.2% | 6 | 2/4 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +10.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-13 | vs CHI | 17 | — | — | 8 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +7.0 | 68% |
| 2026-03-09 | vs NYK | 17 | — | — | 4 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -13.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-06 | @ SAS | 14 | — | — | 5 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.0 | 87% |
| 2026-03-04 | vs IND | 18 | — | — | 10 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 | 68% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS2.1%1/48 games
10+ REBOUNDS14.6%7/48 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/48 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/48 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | IND | 48 | 55.7 | #48 / 409 | 17.7M | Core |
| 2023–24 | IND | 76 | 64.4 | #10 / 409 | 20.8M | Core |
| 2022–23 | IND | 63 | 50.2 | #95 / 408 | 15.6M | Core |
| 2021–22 | IND | 52 | 56.6 | #41 / 423 | 17.5M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER55.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#48of 409 ranked
PH$17.7MCore
SAMPLE48observed games
Ball security24
Box defence66
Creation16
Efficiency83
Rebounding83
Scoring33
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+71.6 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-6.3 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY89-1.1 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
IND
Indiana Pacers
EXPECTED MIN11.5
SCORING SHARE5.6%
CREATION SHARE3.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR71.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
LAC
LA Clippers
EXPECTED MIN7.7
SCORING SHARE5.0%
CREATION SHARE3.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR57.7%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.