Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Bennedict Mathurin
LA Clippers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER45.82025–26
NBA RANK#166of 409
PH$13.9MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN25.4governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Sacramento Kings2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.0 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN30.0
PTS18.1
REB5.4
AST2.4
STL0.8
BLK0.2
3PM1.4
FG%43.8%
3P%31.7%
FT%86.4%
+/--1.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · LA Clippers
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.44pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G4 PTS · 1.8 REB · 1.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G10.6 PTS · 3.8 REB · 2.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G3.5 PTS · 1.7 REB · 1.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G13.6 PTS · 4.8 REB · 2 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes↑
rebounding↓
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.6%1340/3004
2-POINT49.9%1003/2009
3-POINT33.9%337/995
FREE THROW83.5%1073/1285
EFFECTIVE FG%50.2%
TRUE SHOOTING%57.3%
AST / TO0.99
PTS PER 3620.49rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 135 | 29.72 | 17.59 | 5.17 | 2.04 | 1.47 | 0.73 | 0.21 |
| Away | 116 | 27.37 | 14.78 | 4.08 | 1.73 | 1.19 | 0.58 | 0.28 |
| Home − Away | — | +2.4 | +2.8 | +1.1 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1.9 | high |
| minutes | 24 | 28 | 34 | 28.63 | low |
| points | 9 | 16 | 23 | 16.29 | medium |
| rebounds | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4.67 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES135.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs GSW | 32 | 20.3 | +57.6% | 20 | 7/17 | 5/10 | 2/7 | 4/6 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +8.0 | 51% |
| 2026-04-10 | @ POR | 5 | 24.05 | -79.2% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 | 0% |
| 2026-04-08 | vs OKC | 24 | 25.14 | -4.5% | 10 | 3/8 | 3/7 | 0/1 | 4/4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 | 51% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ SAC | 27 | 25.19 | +7.2% | 5 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +15.0 | 63% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs SAS | 27 | 21.79 | +23.9% | 18 | 5/10 | 5/9 | 0/1 | 8/8 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -19.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs POR | 22 | 19.07 | +15.3% | 4 | 2/7 | 2/6 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -18.0 | 29% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ MIL | 27 | 19.73 | +36.8% | 28 | 7/10 | 6/9 | 1/1 | 13/14 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3.0 | 87% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ IND | 29 | 20.53 | +41.3% | 17 | 2/8 | 1/5 | 1/3 | 12/15 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 | 58% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs TOR | 27 | 19.25 | +40.3% | 23 | 7/14 | 6/11 | 1/3 | 8/11 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +21.0 | 61% |
| 2026-03-16 | vs SAS | 34 | 28.47 | +19.4% | 16 | 5/12 | 5/8 | 0/4 | 6/6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5.0 | 55% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS44.4%20/45 games
10+ REBOUNDS4.4%2/45 games
5+ ASSISTS11.1%5/45 games
2+ THREES42.2%19/45 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | LAC | 46 | 45.8 | #166 / 409 | 13.9M | Rotation |
| 2024–25 | IND | 91 | 44.3 | #202 / 422 | 15M | Core |
| 2023–24 | IND | 60 | 41.8 | #221 / 409 | 11.3M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | IND | 78 | 39.5 | #258 / 408 | 11.1M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER45.8descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#166of 409 ranked
PH$13.9MRotation
SAMPLE46observed games
Ball security53
Box defence27
Creation24
Efficiency54
Rebounding32
Scoring71
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE+7.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+7.3 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-4.6 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY69-1.0 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
IND
Indiana Pacers
EXPECTED MIN15.4
SCORING SHARE18.5%
CREATION SHARE9.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR51.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
LAC
LA Clippers
EXPECTED MIN25.1
SCORING SHARE16.3%
CREATION SHARE11.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR78.8%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.